Tools
SJ Earthquakes
2 - 2
FT
Los Angeles FC
Prediction published on Sep 17, 2026 11:33 PM by Dario in USA - Major League Soccer | Modified on Sep 17, 2026 11:33 PM
SJ Earthquakes welcome Los Angeles FC for a Major League Soccer fixture on September 19, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 23:30 local time. The teams are separated by two places in the competition ranking, with the hosts fourth and the visitors sixth. SJ Earthquakes enter the match after beating Houston Dynamo 1-0, a result that extended their unbeaten sequence to four games. Los Angeles FC have a different challenge after suffering a 3-1 defeat against Sporting KC in their latest outing. Neither side has been entirely convincing in the relevant home and away settings: the Earthquakes have recorded only one victory across their last five home matches, while Los Angeles FC have gone four consecutive away fixtures without a win. However, recent meetings between these clubs have regularly produced goals, giving this contest the potential to be an open and eventful encounter at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium.
SJ Earthquakes strengthened their position with a 1-0 victory over Houston Dynamo on September 13. That success also confirmed a fourth straight match without defeat, providing the home side with positive momentum before facing a direct rival that sits only two places below them in the Major League Soccer ranking.
The Earthquakes have collected two wins, two draws and one defeat from their latest five matches. During that period, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their wider season record is more productive in attacking terms: 12 victories, five draws and eight losses, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 allowed. Those figures show a team capable of creating enough opportunities to influence high-scoring matches, although their defensive average also leaves Los Angeles FC with a route into the contest.
Home performances have not always offered the Earthquakes a decisive advantage, as they have won only one of their previous five fixtures as hosts. Their first-half numbers are particularly noteworthy. At least one goal has been scored before the interval in each of their last 15 home league matches. They have also led at half-time in their last three Major League Soccer games, but the broader home trend is less secure, with the team trailing at the break in nine of its previous 15 home appearances. These contrasting statistics suggest that the opening 45 minutes could once again be important.
Los Angeles FC travel to this fixture seeking a response to their 3-1 loss against Sporting KC on September 13. Their last five matches have delivered one win, three draws and one defeat, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The high number of draws in that sequence reflects a team that has frequently remained competitive without consistently turning close games into victories.
Across the Major League Soccer season, Los Angeles FC have registered 11 wins, seven draws and eight defeats. They average 1.6 goals per match, while conceding only 1.0 per game. Their defensive season average is therefore stronger than that of SJ Earthquakes, although the three goals conceded in the latest match show that the visitors are not arriving on the back of their best defensive result.
Away form is the main concern for Los Angeles FC. They have failed to win in four consecutive matches on the road, reducing the confidence that might otherwise come from their season record. The supplied win probabilities still give the visitors the largest individual share at 42%, compared with 32% for SJ Earthquakes and 26% for the draw. Even so, their ongoing winless away sequence and the hosts’ four-match unbeaten run make the result market difficult to assess with complete confidence.
The recent head-to-head record favors Los Angeles FC overall. From the five meetings covered by the summary, SJ Earthquakes have recorded one win and one draw alongside three defeats. The Earthquakes averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across those games, meaning the combined scoring average reached four goals per meeting.
The latest head-to-head contest finished 1-4 on April 19, 2026, producing five goals. The last four meetings between the clubs have all gone beyond 2.5 goals, while the most recent encounter at this venue ended in a 2-4 victory for Los Angeles FC. These results do not guarantee another high total, but they establish a clear pattern of expansive contests whenever these opponents have recently met.
Current attacking and defensive averages also leave room for goals. SJ Earthquakes score 1.8 and concede 1.4 per league match this season, while Los Angeles FC average 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded. The hosts have found stability in their results and recently kept a clean sheet, but their average of 1.6 goals conceded over the last five games remains relevant. Meanwhile, Los Angeles FC scored in their latest defeat despite allowing three goals.
The statistical projections support an entertaining match without making one outcome overwhelming. Both teams to score is rated at 59%, while the probability of over 2.5 goals is 56%. The strongest argument for the goals market comes from the repeated head-to-head pattern: four consecutive meetings have cleared the 2.5-goal line, including the five-goal contest in April and the six-goal result from the latest meeting at this ground. With SJ Earthquakes carrying an unbeaten sequence but an inconsistent home record, and Los Angeles FC holding the higher win probability despite four away games without victory, a goal-based selection appears more coherent than relying on either team to win.
SJ Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
SJ Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
9
1
10
0