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Prediction published on Nov 24, 2025 3:02 AM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Nov 24, 2025 3:02 AM
The UEFA Champions League group stage continues with an intriguing clash between Slavia Prague and Athletic Bilbao at the Fortuna Arena. This will be the first-ever meeting between the two sides in this competition, and both teams are desperate for points to climb into the playoff positions. Slavia Prague, currently sitting 30th in the standings, will look to make the most of their home advantage, while Athletic Bilbao, ranked 27th, aim to bounce back from a poor run of form in Europe. With both teams struggling for consistency, this encounter promises to be a tense and competitive affair.
Slavia Prague enter this match hoping to end a long winless streak in the Champions League proper, having failed to win any of their last 15 matches in the competition. Despite their European struggles, the Czech side have shown signs of improvement domestically. They come into this fixture after a convincing 3-1 victory over Bohemians 1905 on November 22, marking their fourth win in the last five matches across all competitions. During this run, they have averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, highlighting their attacking potential but also their defensive vulnerabilities.
In their previous Champions League outing, Slavia suffered a heavy 3-0 home defeat to Arsenal, underlining the gap they still need to bridge at this level. Historically, they have struggled against Spanish opposition, winning only two of their last fifteen encounters. However, the recent domestic form of players like Lukas Provod offers some optimism. The midfielder has been in excellent shape, contributing to three goals in his last two appearances and tallying eleven goal involvements this season. Unfortunately, Slavia will be without Oscar Dorley and Petr Sevcik, both sidelined through injury, which could limit their midfield options.
At home, Slavia have been a strong attacking side, often creating numerous chances and forcing plenty of corners. In fact, over 7.5 corners have been taken in 21 of their last 22 matches, showing their ability to sustain pressure in the final third. However, their defensive lapses remain a concern, having conceded seven goals in their last three matches. To secure a positive result, they will need to tighten up at the back while maintaining their offensive rhythm.
Athletic Bilbao arrive in Prague after a difficult spell, having lost 4-0 to Barcelona in their most recent outing. That defeat was their fourth in the last five matches, with the Basque side managing just one win during that period. Their attacking output has been particularly disappointing, averaging only 0.6 goals scored per game while conceding 2.0. In Europe, they have also struggled, losing 2-0 to Newcastle United earlier in the group stage and failing to find the net in three of their last four matches.
Manager Ernesto Valverde faces a challenging task as he tries to reignite his team’s confidence. The absence of captain Inaki Williams, who remains out with a groin injury, has been a major blow. In his place, Oihan Sancet is expected to step up, hoping to rediscover the form that saw him contribute to 20 goals last season. However, Sancet’s recent performances have been inconsistent, and he will need to lead the attack effectively if Athletic are to end their poor run.
On the road, Athletic’s record is worrying. They have failed to win any of their last seven away matches, drawing once and losing six times. Moreover, they have not led at halftime in 19 of their last 20 away fixtures, often starting slowly and struggling to recover. Defensively, they have been vulnerable in the second half, with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in 20 of their last 22 matches. These trends suggest that maintaining concentration throughout the game will be crucial if they are to avoid another setback.
Both teams enter this match under pressure, and their recent performances suggest that neither side is likely to dominate. Slavia Prague will rely on their attacking momentum from domestic competitions, while Athletic Bilbao will look to exploit their hosts’ defensive weaknesses. However, with both sides struggling for consistency in Europe, a cautious approach could prevail in the early stages.
Historically, matches involving these teams have not been high-scoring affairs. Their only previous meeting ended 1-0 in favor of Athletic, and given their current form, another tight contest seems likely. Slavia’s home advantage and recent scoring form could help them find the net, but their defensive issues may allow Athletic to respond. The Spaniards’ poor away record and key absences, however, make it difficult to back them for a win.
Considering the balance of strengths and weaknesses, this fixture could see both teams creating chances but struggling to convert them efficiently. The statistics also point toward a match with several goal opportunities, as both sides have been involved in games averaging around 2.5 goals recently. Expect a competitive encounter where neither team can afford to lose, making a draw a plausible outcome.
Slavia Prague vs Athletic Bilbao prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Slavia Prague win (1) with a 44% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 23%, while an Athletic Bilbao win (2) stands at 34%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Slavia Praha
Athletic Club
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
9
1
8
2