Tools
Slovakia
2 - 1
FT
Malta
Prediction published on Jun 1, 2026 11:39 AM by Dario in World - Friendly International | Modified on Jun 1, 2026 11:39 AM
The international friendly between Slovakia and Malta promises to be an intriguing test for both sides as they prepare for their upcoming UEFA Nations League campaigns. Scheduled to take place in Dunajska Streda, this encounter pits two teams with contrasting recent fortunes but similar ambitions — to build momentum and confidence before competitive action resumes. While Slovakia enter the match as clear favorites, Malta will be eager to show progress and resilience against higher-ranked opposition. Given the recent scoring trends of both teams, this fixture could turn into a tactical battle rather than a goal fest.
Slovakia come into this friendly looking to extend their positive home record and bounce back from some inconsistent results. According to recent data, they have recorded three wins and two defeats in their last five matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their most recent defeat, a heavy 0-6 loss to Germany in November 2025, highlighted defensive vulnerabilities that they will be keen to address. However, their overall home form remains encouraging, with four wins from their last five home fixtures.
In the current Friendly International campaign, Slovakia have started well, registering one win from one match with an average of 2.0 goals scored and none conceded. Historically, they have dominated Malta, winning four of their five previous meetings and drawing once, with an average of 3.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. This strong head-to-head record should give the Falcons confidence heading into the match.
Despite their attacking inconsistencies, Slovakia’s defensive structure at home has often been solid, and their ability to control possession could be key in dictating the tempo of this match. The challenge will be to convert dominance into goals, especially against a side that tends to defend deep and compact.
Malta arrive in Slovakia after a difficult run of results that has seen them struggle both in attack and defense. Their last outing ended in a 0-2 defeat to Luxembourg in March 2026, continuing a pattern of low-scoring performances. Over their last five matches, Malta have managed one win, one draw, and three defeats, scoring an average of 0.8 goals while conceding 2.0 per game. These numbers underline the team’s need for greater balance and efficiency at both ends of the pitch.
In the World Cup qualifiers, Malta finished fourth in their group, scoring just four goals in eight matches. Their struggles in front of goal have persisted, and they will likely focus on maintaining defensive discipline to avoid another heavy defeat. Against a technically superior Slovakian side, Malta’s best chance may come from set pieces or counterattacks.
Although the Maltese have shown flashes of improvement in certain matches, their defensive frailties remain a concern. The team’s focus will likely be on organization and limiting Slovakia’s attacking opportunities, hoping to frustrate the hosts and perhaps snatch a goal on the break.
This friendly is expected to be a low-scoring affair, with both teams prioritizing structure over risk. Slovakia’s superior technical quality and home advantage make them the favorites, but their recent scoring rate suggests that a high-margin victory is not guaranteed. Malta, on the other hand, will aim to stay compact and avoid conceding early, knowing that their chances of success depend on defensive resilience.
Historically, matches between these two sides have been one-sided, but the current form of both teams points toward a more cautious contest. The statistical trends support this view: BTTS – No has occurred in most of their recent games, and both teams have struggled to score consistently. Given these patterns, the likelihood of a goal-filled encounter appears slim.
According to the available probabilities, Slovakia hold a 74% chance of winning, while a draw stands at 17% and a Malta victory at 9%. The Over 2.5 goals market is rated at 56%, but considering both teams’ recent inefficiency in front of goal, the safer expectation leans toward a tighter scoreline.
Slovakia vs Malta prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with a probability of 74%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Slovakia
Malta
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
7
3
3
7
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
8
2
7
3