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Slovakia
2 - 2
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Montenegro
Prediction published on Jun 3, 2026 3:03 PM by Dario in World - Friendly International | Modified on Jun 3, 2026 3:03 PM
The international friendly between Slovakia and Montenegro promises to be a competitive encounter as both teams continue their preparations for the upcoming UEFA Nations League. The match will take place at the Kosicka Futbalova Arena, where the home side will look to extend their positive run of results. Both nations missed out on qualification for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, but this fixture offers a valuable opportunity to fine-tune tactics and maintain momentum ahead of September’s competitive fixtures. Historically, Slovakia have had the upper hand in this matchup, remaining unbeaten in two previous meetings, and they will aim to maintain that record in front of their supporters.
Slovakia approach this friendly in solid form, having recorded a 2-1 victory over Malta on June 1, 2026. That result marked their second consecutive win in international friendlies, following a brief spell of two defeats. Over their last five matches, Slovakia have achieved three wins, no draws, and two losses, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Their recent performances suggest a team that is finding balance between attack and defense, though there is still room for improvement at the back.
In the current Friendly International season, Slovakia’s record stands at two wins from two matches, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and just 0.5 conceded per game. This efficiency highlights their ability to control matches and convert chances effectively. Moreover, under 0.5 total goals have been recorded in only two of their last ten matches, indicating that their games tend to produce goals. The Falcons’ home form has been particularly strong, with five wins in their last six home fixtures, making them a tough opponent on their own turf.
Montenegro also come into this match with encouraging form, having beaten Bulgaria 1-0 away from home on June 1, 2026. That result extended their run to three wins in their last four games, with only one defeat in their previous five outings. Over that period, they have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, showing a balanced approach between attack and defense. Their Friendly International season record stands at two wins and one loss, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Interestingly, Montenegro have not drawn any of their last 19 matches, a statistic that underlines their tendency to play for decisive outcomes. Furthermore, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 18 of their last 20 matches, suggesting that their games often come alive after the break. Despite their recent improvements, Montenegro’s away form remains inconsistent, with nine defeats in their last 11 away fixtures. They will need to overcome that weakness if they are to challenge Slovakia on their home ground.
When it comes to previous meetings, Slovakia hold a slight advantage over Montenegro. The two sides last met on November 17, 2022, in a 2-2 draw, while Slovakia won the earlier encounter. Overall, the head-to-head record stands at one win and one draw for Slovakia, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. These figures suggest that matches between the two teams tend to be open and competitive.
From a tactical perspective, Slovakia’s recent performances indicate a team that thrives on home advantage, combining solid defensive organization with efficient finishing. Montenegro, on the other hand, have shown resilience and the ability to grind out results, particularly in tight matches. However, their defensive line may be tested by Slovakia’s attacking rhythm, especially given the home side’s strong record in front of their fans. Both teams are likely to approach this friendly as a chance to refine their systems before the Nations League, but Slovakia’s consistency and home form could prove decisive.
Both teams enter this friendly in good spirits, but the balance of form and home advantage tilts the scales in favor of Slovakia. The Falcons have been difficult to beat at home and have shown improved attacking efficiency in recent matches. Montenegro’s recent results are promising, yet their away struggles and tendency to concede late goals could be their undoing here. Given the statistical trends, a match with goals on both sides is possible, but Slovakia’s superior home record and unbeaten head-to-head history make them the more likely winners.
According to the latest probabilities, Slovakia have a 60% chance of winning, the draw stands at 22%, and Montenegro’s chances are 18%. The Over 2.5 goals market is slightly favored at 54%, while Both Teams To Score is evenly balanced at 50%. These figures reinforce the expectation of an entertaining match with attacking intent from both sides.
Slovakia vs Montenegro prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Slovakia
Montenegro
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
7
3
3
7
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
8
2
8
2