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Prediction published on Jun 2, 2026 5:02 PM by Dario in World - Friendly International | Modified on Jun 2, 2026 5:02 PM
The upcoming international friendly between Slovenia and Cyprus promises to offer an intriguing contest between two sides looking to rebuild momentum after missing out on qualification for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Set to take place at Stadion Stozice, this encounter will serve as a valuable opportunity for both teams to test new strategies and give playing time to emerging talents. With both nations eager to regain confidence, the match could provide a competitive yet open display of football.
Slovenia enter this friendly after a morale-boosting 3-2 victory over Montenegro in March 2026, a result that ended a seven-match winless streak across all competitions. That performance demonstrated renewed attacking intent, with the team showing resilience to secure the win away from home. Over their last five matches, Slovenia have recorded one win, two draws, and two defeats, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. These numbers suggest a side that has struggled for consistency but remains competitive against similarly ranked opponents.
At home, Slovenia’s record has been mixed. They lost their most recent home fixture 2-0 to Kosovo in November, but before that, they were unbeaten in four consecutive matches on home soil, scoring two or more goals in three of those outings. This indicates that when playing in front of their supporters, the team tends to find an extra gear offensively. In the current Friendly International campaign, Slovenia have one win and one defeat, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Interestingly, under 0.5 total goals have been recorded in four of their last ten matches, showing that their games often remain tight and low-scoring.
Currently ranked first in the Friendly International standings, Slovenia will look to build on their recent improvement and continue their positive home form. Their previous success against Cyprus could also provide a psychological edge heading into this fixture.
Cyprus approach this match after a 3-2 win over Moldova in March 2026, a result that offered some relief following a difficult run of results. Despite earning eight points in their World Cup qualifying campaign, they fell short of reaching the tournament, finishing behind Austria, Bosnia & Herzegovina, and Romania. Over their last five matches, Cyprus have managed two wins and three defeats, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. This balance highlights both their attacking potential and defensive vulnerabilities.
On the road, Cyprus have found it challenging to maintain consistency. Their only away victory since October 2024 came against San Marino, a 4-0 success that remains their sole win in seven away matches. During that period, they conceded two or more goals in five of those games, underlining a defensive fragility that could be exploited by Slovenia’s forwards. In the current Friendly International season, Cyprus share identical stats with their opponents — one win, one loss, and averages of 1.5 goals scored and conceded per match. Additionally, they have trailed at half time in 15 of their last 23 matches, suggesting a tendency to start slowly before improving in the second half.
Ranked second in the Friendly International standings, Cyprus will aim to build on their recent win and demonstrate greater defensive discipline. However, their away record remains a concern, and they will need to tighten up at the back to challenge Slovenia effectively.
This friendly encounter between Slovenia and Cyprus is expected to be evenly contested, with both teams eager to test new combinations and regain rhythm ahead of future competitive fixtures. Slovenia’s home advantage and their recent victory over Montenegro could give them a slight edge, especially given Cyprus’s struggles on the road. The hosts have shown they can be efficient in front of goal when playing at Stadion Stozice, while the visitors’ defensive record suggests they may concede under sustained pressure.
Historically, meetings between these two sides have been balanced, with the head-to-head record showing two wins each and one draw. The average goals per match in these encounters stand at just over two, indicating that while goals are possible, matches are often closely fought. Given the statistical trends, a moderately high-scoring game could unfold if both teams approach the match with attacking intent.
Based on the available data, Slovenia appear slightly better positioned to secure a positive result. Their improved form, home advantage, and previous success against Cyprus make them the more likely winners in this friendly fixture.
Slovenia vs Cyprus prediction from BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 45% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Slovenia
Cyprus
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
9
1
8
2