Spain host England at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid on November 15 as UEFA Nations League Group A3 reaches its conclusion. Both teams have secured quarter-final places, but first place remains at stake. Spain lead England by three points and need only a draw to stay top; England must win. Their September meeting at Wembley finished 3-2 to Spain, and both sides arrive after victories on November 12. With strong scoring records on each side, this final group fixture offers plenty to examine.

Spain's Recent Form and Key Stats

Spain maintained their perfect Nations League record with a 2-0 away win over the Czech Republic. They have won all five group matches, scoring an average of 2.8 goals and conceding 1.0 per game. Their broader unbeaten run stands at 40 matches, while they have avoided defeat in their last 23 home fixtures and their last 18 Nations League games.

The hosts have scored in each of their last 14 Nations League matches and have struck at least twice in their last 12 in the competition. They have also found the net in 15 consecutive home Nations League fixtures. Those runs help explain why England need more than a cautious performance to take first place: Spain have repeatedly found ways to score, including in the 3-2 reverse fixture.

Spain's underlying figures are notable too. They have registered an xG of 11.6, created a League A-leading 26 big chances and averaged 65.6% possession. At the other end, their xGA stands at 4.7. Lamine Yamal, who has four goals in this Nations League campaign, missed the Czech Republic match with a knee issue, but Luis de la Fuente said he would be available against England. Mikel Oyarzabal is also expected to return; both he and Yamal scored at Wembley. Ferran Torres has recorded five shots across his last two appearances and has an xG per 90 of 1.09 in League A.

England's Recent Form and Key Stats

England confirmed their quarter-final place by beating Croatia 2-1 at Wembley. Thomas Tuchel's team have four wins and one defeat in the group, with an average of 3.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Their 16 goals make them League A's highest-scoring side in the competition, while they have conceded the second-fewest goals.

The away record adds weight to England's challenge in Madrid. They have won their last five away matches, scored nine goals across their two Nations League trips this season and found the net in 19 consecutive away fixtures. England have also scored in each of their last 12 Nations League games. Recent results have shown defensive strength as well: they have kept clean sheets in five of their last six outings and have three in this Nations League campaign.

Harry Kane scored the winner against Croatia and leads this season's Nations League with seven goals, eight goal contributions and an xG of 4.5. Jude Bellingham supplied the pass for Morgan Rogers to score against Croatia; Bellingham has a competition-leading five assists and eight big chances created. England's overall xG is 14.5, and they have created 25 big chances. Ezri Konsa, absent against Croatia because of an injury, is expected to return, while Myles Lewis-Skelly is available again after serving a one-match ban.

Spain vs England Match Analysis

The group situation gives the teams different requirements. A draw is enough for Spain, whereas England can only move above them with a victory. Spain's 23-match unbeaten home run makes that a demanding task, but England's five straight away wins and long scoring streak offer a clear reason to expect a contest. The 3-2 result at Wembley is another reminder that neither side kept the other off the scoresheet in their previous meeting.

Goals have been a consistent feature of their Nations League records. Spain's last 12 matches in the competition have all featured over 1.5 total goals, as have England's last 12. Each team has scored in its last 12 Nations League fixtures, and both have averaged more than two goals per game during this group campaign. Spain's strong home form and England's recent clean sheets make a repeat of September's five-goal scoreline far from certain, but the attacking figures give both teams a credible route to a goal in Madrid.

Spain vs England prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 64% probability.