Tools
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 2
FT
FC Volendam
Prediction published on Jan 13, 2026 10:02 PM by Dario in Netherlands - KNVB Beker | Modified on Jan 13, 2026 10:02 PM
The postponed KNVB Beker round of 16 clash between Sparta Rotterdam and FC Volendam will finally take place at Het Kasteel, setting the stage for an intriguing all-Eredivisie encounter. Both teams arrive with contrasting momentum, as Sparta look to extend their solid form while Volendam aim to turn around a difficult campaign. The home side’s defensive discipline and recent consistency make them the clear favourites heading into this knockout tie.
Sparta Rotterdam approach this match in strong shape, having won four of their last five matches across all competitions. Their most recent outing was a convincing 2-0 victory over Heracles Almelo on January 11, 2026. Over that five-game stretch, Sparta have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, underlining their balance between attack and defense.
In the KNVB Beker, Sparta have been particularly effective, recording two wins from two matches, with an impressive average of 5.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Their attacking output has been consistent, as Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 11 cup fixtures. However, one area of concern is their tendency to start slowly — they have lost at half time in their last three home matches in this competition.
Sparta’s matches are also known for their high corner counts, with Over 7.5 corners recorded in 24 of their last 25 games and Over 8.5 corners in the last 14. This reflects their attacking intent and the pressure they often apply in the final third. Historically, Sparta have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five head-to-head meetings against Volendam, including a 1-0 away victory on December 21, 2025.
FC Volendam enter this cup tie struggling for form and confidence. Their last five matches have produced no wins, one draw, and four defeats, with an average of 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their most recent result was a narrow 1-0 loss to AZ on January 10, 2026, a match that highlighted their ongoing issues in both attack and defense.
In the KNVB Beker, Volendam’s record is slightly better, with one win and one draw so far, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.5 conceded per match. Their only victory came in the previous round, a 2-0 success against Genemuiden. However, their away form remains a major concern: they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 12 away matches and have lost at half time in their last four away games. Even though they tend to see early action — with Over 0.5 goals at half time in their last 12 away fixtures — their inability to maintain defensive solidity often costs them points.
Volendam’s inconsistency on both ends of the pitch has been a recurring theme this season. Their attack lacks sharpness, while defensive lapses frequently undo their efforts. Facing a Sparta side that thrives on structure and efficiency, the visitors will need a near-perfect performance to stay competitive.
This KNVB Beker encounter brings together two sides with very different trajectories. Sparta Rotterdam have been reliable and disciplined, particularly at home, where their defensive organization often frustrates opponents. Their recent head-to-head record against Volendam further strengthens their case, as they have conceded just 0.6 goals per game across the last five meetings.
FC Volendam, on the other hand, continue to struggle for rhythm and confidence. Their inability to convert chances and their vulnerability at the back make them underdogs in this tie. While they may look to stay compact and hit on the counter, Sparta’s current form suggests they will control possession and dictate the tempo.
Given the statistical trends, this match is likely to feature goals — Over 2.5 goals has occurred in 61% of Sparta’s recent fixtures — but the home side’s superior balance and momentum should ultimately prove decisive. Volendam’s defensive fragility, combined with Sparta’s attacking consistency, points towards another home success at Het Kasteel.
Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Volendam prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sparta Rotterdam
FC Volendam
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
5
5
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0