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Sparta Rotterdam
5:45 PM
October 28, 2026
Fortuna Sittard
Prediction published on Oct 27, 2026 12:36 PM by Dario in Netherlands - KNVB Beker | Modified on Oct 27, 2026 12:36 PM
Sparta Rotterdam host Fortuna Sittard in the first round of the KNVB Beker on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Kick-off is scheduled for 17:45 local time at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel. Both clubs also compete in the Eredivisie, but their league campaigns have taken different paths: Sparta have nine points from ten matches and sit 14th, while Fortuna are sixth with 18 points. The contrast in recent results gives this cup tie an intriguing backdrop. Sparta have won once in their last five matches, whereas Fortuna arrive unbeaten across the same span.
Sparta Rotterdam have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five matches. Their victory came in a 3-2 game against Willem II, while they drew 3-3 with Go Ahead Eagles. Defeats to PSV, SC Heerenveen and Ajax completed that sequence. The latest setback was a 1-2 loss to Ajax on October 25.
Those five results show how eventful Sparta’s matches have been. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game during that run. Their games have also produced over 2.5 total goals on nine consecutive occasions, while they have conceded at least once in each of their last 15 matches. Sparta can point to goals of their own against Willem II, Go Ahead Eagles and Ajax, but the number conceded recently has made positive results harder to secure.
There are further patterns to watch in this KNVB Beker fixture. Sparta’s last 12 matches in the competition have each contained more than 1.5 total goals. At least one first-half goal has been scored in their last 11 matches overall and their last ten home matches. The source article also notes that Sparta have failed to win four of their last five home games. Playing at Het Kasteel offers them a chance to change that sequence, though their recent defensive record remains a concern.
Fortuna Sittard travel to Rotterdam with three wins and two draws from their last five matches. They beat Willem II 1-0, KRC Genk 2-1 and Excelsior 1-0, and shared points with FC Twente in a 1-1 draw and NEC in a 2-2 draw. Their most recent outing was the victory over Excelsior on October 25. Unlike Sparta, Fortuna have avoided defeat throughout this five-match stretch.
Fortuna have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across those five games. That recent defensive average is notably lower than Sparta’s, although the longer-term figures tell a less straightforward story: Fortuna have conceded at least once in 31 of their last 33 matches. Their fixtures have regularly included goals, with over 1.5 total goals in 27 of their last 29. A second-half goal has been scored in 21 of their last 23 matches, and 18 of their last 20 away games have featured a goal before half-time.
The visitors therefore bring stronger recent results into the cup meeting without having an unbroken defensive record. They have found a way to win three of their past five games, including two 1-0 victories, but both teams scored in their draws with FC Twente and NEC and in the win over KRC Genk. Whether Fortuna can maintain their unbeaten run against Sparta will be one of the central questions on Wednesday.
Recent form favours Fortuna Sittard, yet the head-to-head figures offer a counterpoint. From Sparta’s perspective, the five-match summary against Fortuna stands at two wins, three draws and no defeats, with averages of 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Their latest meeting, on February 7, 2026, ended 2-2. Fortuna’s current unbeaten run and Sparta’s record in this fixture point in different directions, making the match result less clear-cut than the recent-form comparison alone suggests.
The goal trends provide a clearer theme for this Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard preview. Sparta’s last nine matches have all gone over 2.5 total goals, and they have conceded in 15 straight games. Fortuna’s longer run of 27 over-1.5 results in 29 matches adds to the case for an open scoreline, even if that statistic does not by itself guarantee three goals. The previous 2-2 meeting is another relevant example, rather than a promise that this cup encounter will follow the same pattern.
There are reasons for both sides to see an opportunity. Sparta have scored in several of their recent fixtures and have not lost any of the five meetings covered by the head-to-head summary. Fortuna, meanwhile, have won three of their last five while Sparta have conceded an average of three goals per game over that period. With both teams’ recent matches frequently producing goals, the total-goals market is the most coherent focus ahead of kick-off.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 64% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sparta Rotterdam
Fortuna Sittard
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
1
9
4
6
3.5
3
7
5
5
4.5
6
4
7
3