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Sparta Rotterdam
3 - 2
FT
Willem II
Prediction published on Oct 15, 2026 7:13 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Oct 15, 2026 7:13 PM
Sparta Rotterdam host Willem II on October 17 in an Eredivisie meeting between two teams searching for a change in results. The ninth-round fixture at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel brings together 14th-placed Sparta and 18th-placed Willem II. The home side have not won since August 14, while the visitors are still waiting for their first league victory of the season. Both have conceded heavily in recent matches, making this a match in which each team will see an opportunity to create chances despite its own defensive concerns.
Sparta Rotterdam have one win, three draws and four defeats from their eight Eredivisie matches. Their last five games have brought two draws and three losses, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per match. The most recent result was a 3-3 draw with Go Ahead Eagles on October 10: a point for Sparta, but another game in which keeping opponents out proved difficult.
Sparta's last victory was a 3-1 win over SC Telstar on August 14. Since then, their results have included a 0-4 defeat against SC Heerenveen and a 4-1 loss to PSV Eindhoven. Across the season, Sparta average 1.6 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per Eredivisie fixture. They have also allowed at least one goal in each of their last 13 league matches, a run that underlines the defensive challenge they face before welcoming Willem II.
There is an attacking opportunity for the hosts against opponents who have conceded even more frequently on average this season. Sparta's task is to make the most of that opening without leaving themselves exposed, particularly after a five-game stretch in which they have conceded three goals per match. Their recent fixtures have also regularly produced corners: more than 8.5 were taken in 18 of Sparta's last 20 home matches, although that trend alone does not determine how this game will unfold.
Willem II arrive with two draws and six defeats from their first eight league games. They have lost four of their last five, drawing the other, and enter this fixture on a run of three consecutive defeats. Their latest setback was a 3-1 loss to FC Utrecht on October 11; the source material also records a 5-1 defeat against Ajax during that run. Finding a first win will require an improvement at both ends of the pitch.
Over their last five matches, Willem II have averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Their season figures stand at 0.9 scored and 2.9 allowed per Eredivisie match. Those numbers show why the visitors need more than a defensive response: scoring has also been a problem across their recent results. At the same time, they have scored at least once in each of their last 19 away matches, a record that gives them reason to look for openings against Sparta's defence.
Willem II's challenge is to turn those away goals into points. Conceding three times at FC Utrecht left them with little margin for error, and Sparta's season scoring average suggests the visitors may again have work to do defensively. With neither side in winning form, an early goal could change the demands on both teams, but the available results offer no basis for assuming either will control the match.
This Eredivisie preview centres on a clear contrast between opportunity and vulnerability. Sparta Rotterdam have the home fixture and have scored more goals per league game than Willem II, yet their 13-match run of conceding leaves the door open for the visitors. Willem II have struggled to score consistently in their last five games, but their longer away scoring streak suggests they cannot be discounted in attack.
The recent scorelines reinforce the case for a match with chances. Sparta's 3-3 draw with Go Ahead Eagles followed a period of costly defensive results, while Willem II conceded three at FC Utrecht and five against Ajax. Season-long averages of 2.5 goals conceded by Sparta and 2.9 by Willem II make defensive improvement important for both sides. If those weaknesses remain, each team should have opportunities to threaten the other's goal.
Sparta will be looking to end their winless spell, while Willem II are pursuing their first victory of the campaign. Neither objective removes the risk shown by their recent results. The balance of the supplied form and scoring figures points towards goals as the defining theme of this meeting, rather than a straightforward contest for either team.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sparta Rotterdam
Willem II
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
4
6
5
5
4.5
7
3
7
3