The final match of the year in Serie B brings together two sides in desperate need of points as Spezia host Pescara on Saturday, December 27, at 12:30. It’s a true relegation battle, with the home side sitting 18th on 14 points and the visitors bottom of the table with 13. Both teams have changed managers during the season and are under pressure to end the year on a positive note. The stakes are high, and neither can afford another setback in their fight for survival.

Spezia’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Spezia come into this fixture after a 2-1 defeat against Frosinone on December 20, a result that halted their brief recovery. Over their last five matches, they have collected two wins and three losses, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game while conceding 1.6. Their season record in Serie B stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, with an average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. These numbers highlight a team struggling to find consistency at both ends of the pitch.

At home, the situation has been far from ideal. The Ligurian side have lost at half-time in six of their last ten home games, a sign of their difficulties in starting matches strongly. The “Picco” stadium, once considered a fortress, has not provided the expected advantage this season. However, with the support of their fans and the urgency of the situation, Spezia will aim to rediscover their fighting spirit and turn their home ground into a decisive factor in their survival bid.

• Ranking: 18th in Serie B


• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 defeats


• Average goals scored: 0.9 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.4 per match


• Lost at half-time in 6 of last 10 home matches

Pescara’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Pescara arrive in Liguria with renewed confidence after a crucial 2-1 victory over Reggiana on December 20. That win not only lifted morale but also narrowed the gap to their direct rivals in the relegation zone. Over their last five games, the Abruzzese side have recorded one win, two draws, and two defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Their overall record in Serie B is 2 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game.

Defensively, Pescara have struggled throughout the season, having conceded at least one goal in each of their last 13 league matches. On the other hand, their attacking approach often makes their games entertaining, with goals frequently coming in the second half — over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in each of their last 14 away fixtures. The team’s resilience and ability to find the net could be key factors in this crucial encounter.

• Ranking: 20th in Serie B


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.3 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.9 per match


• At least 1 goal conceded in last 13 Serie B matches


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in last 14 away matches

Head-to-Head and Match Outlook

Historically, the meetings between Spezia and Pescara have been balanced, with five recent encounters producing two wins for Spezia and three for Pescara. The last time they met, on March 4, 2020, Spezia claimed a 2-0 victory. On average, these clashes have featured 1.4 goals scored by Spezia and 1.8 by Pescara, suggesting that goals are rarely in short supply when these sides meet.

Given their current defensive records — 33 goals conceded by Spezia and 24 by Pescara — this match promises to be open and unpredictable. Both teams are desperate for points, and with their fragile backlines, the game could easily turn into a high-scoring affair. The home side will likely push forward from the start, while Pescara’s counter-attacking style could exploit any defensive lapses.

Analysis and Betting Insight

With both teams sitting in the relegation zone, this fixture is more than just another league match — it’s a battle for survival. Spezia will rely on home advantage and the need to respond after two consecutive defeats, while Pescara will look to build on their recent win and continue their scoring momentum. The statistics point toward an open contest, with both sides likely to find the net.

According to the data, the win probabilities stand at 45% for Spezia, 28% for a draw, and 28% for Pescara. The “Both Teams To Score – Yes” outcome has a 51% likelihood, while “Over 2.5 goals” also shows a 51% probability. These figures align with the general expectation of a lively match filled with attacking intent and defensive uncertainty.

Spezia vs Pescara prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 51% probability.