The upcoming round of Serie B features one of the most anticipated fixtures of the weekend: the Ligurian derby between Spezia and Virtus Entella. The match is scheduled for Saturday, February 7, at 19:30, and will take place at the Picco Stadium. It promises to be a tense and balanced encounter, with both sides fighting to move away from the relegation zone. The hosts start with a slight edge according to the latest odds, but the stakes and local rivalry make this a truly unpredictable clash.

Spezia’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Spezia enter this derby in a delicate position, currently sitting 17th in the Serie B standings with 20 points. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with 2 wins and 3 defeats in their last five matches. The most recent outing ended in a narrow 1-0 loss against Sampdoria on January 31, a result that further complicated their situation near the bottom of the table. Over the course of the season, Spezia have recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

Despite their struggles, the home side have shown flashes of resilience, particularly in tight matches. Their average of just 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in the last five fixtures highlights a team that often keeps games close but struggles to find the net consistently. The lack of attacking efficiency has been a recurring issue, and improving their finishing will be crucial if they are to secure a positive result in this derby.

• Ranking: 17th in Serie B


• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 3 defeats


• Average goals scored: 0.9 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.3 per match


• Last head-to-head: lost 0-1 on December 8, 2025

Virtus Entella’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Virtus Entella approach this match just one place above their rivals, sitting 16th in the table. They come off a 1-1 draw against Frosinone on January 31, a result that extended their run to only one defeat in the last four matches. Their overall record in Serie B stands at 4 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, with averages of 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game — numbers that mirror Spezia’s season closely.

However, Entella’s biggest weakness has been their performances away from home. They have yet to win on the road this season, collecting only 3 points in total — the worst away record in the league. Their matches tend to be low-scoring, particularly in the first half. In fact, under 1.5 goals have been recorded before halftime in 25 of their last 27 games, and at least one team failed to score in 35 of their last 37 fixtures. These trends underline a cautious and defensive approach, which could again define their strategy in this derby.

• Ranking: 16th in Serie B


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats


• Average goals scored: 0.6 per match


• Average goals conceded: 0.8 per match


• Under 1.5 goals at halftime in 25 of last 27 matches


• No away wins this season (3 points total)

Spezia vs Virtus Entella Analysis and Prediction

This Ligurian derby is shaping up to be a tense and tactical battle between two sides desperate for points. Both teams are struggling offensively, ranking among the lowest scorers in Serie B, and their recent head-to-head record supports the expectation of a tight contest. In their last five meetings, Spezia have remained unbeaten with 3 wins and 2 draws, averaging just 0.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per match. The most recent encounter ended 0-1, further confirming the trend of low-scoring affairs.

Given the defensive nature of both sides and their difficulties in front of goal, this match is unlikely to produce many scoring opportunities. The pressure of the relegation battle and the derby atmosphere could lead to a cautious start, with both teams prioritizing solidity over risk-taking. The statistics strongly suggest a game with few goals, especially considering that Virtus Entella’s matches frequently stay under 2.5 total goals and that both teams to score has occurred in only 43% of their games.

For these reasons, the most logical outcome appears to be a low-scoring draw or a narrow home win. However, the data points clearly toward a match with limited offensive output.

Spezia vs Virtus Entella prediction by BetMines:
Under 2.5 goals with 63% probability.