Spezia welcome Vis Pesaro on September 21, 2026, for a Serie C: Girone B fixture that brings together the teams currently at opposite ends of the standings. Spezia lead the division after collecting 13 points from five matches, while Vis Pesaro sit 20th with one point from the same number of games. The hosts have won four league matches and drawn one, whereas the visitors have recorded one draw and four defeats. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:30 local time at Stadio Alberto Picco in La Spezia. With Spezia carrying excellent form into the contest and Vis Pesaro struggling for results, the statistical picture gives the home side a clear advantage. However, the contrasting goal trends also offer several important points to consider before this Spezia vs Vis Pesaro match.

Spezia Recent Form and Key Statistics

Spezia enter this Serie C encounter on a five-match winning run across their latest fixtures. Their most recent result was a convincing 3-0 victory over Perugia on September 16, extending a sequence in which they have combined consistent scoring with an extremely strong defensive return.

Across those last five games, Spezia have averaged 2.2 goals scored per match and conceded only 0.2 per game. That means they have produced an average goal difference of two goals per fixture during this winning sequence. Their wider league record is similarly impressive: four victories, one draw and no defeats through the opening five Serie C: Girone B matches.

The league leaders are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game this season. Those figures underline the balance behind their strong start. Spezia are not only creating enough goals to win regularly, but they have also made it difficult for opponents to respond. Their unbeaten league record and recent defensive numbers are central to why they approach this match as the stronger side on the available evidence.

Second-half action has also been a reliable feature of Spezia's games. At least one goal has been scored after half-time in each of their last 18 matches. This does not identify which team scored those goals, but it does indicate that their fixtures have repeatedly produced a breakthrough or further scoring after the interval.

• League position: 1st in Serie C: Girone B.
• Season record: Four wins, one draw and no defeats.
• Last five matches: Five wins.
• Recent scoring average: 2.2 goals per game.
• Recent concession average: 0.2 goals per game.

Vis Pesaro Recent Form and Key Statistics

Vis Pesaro travel to face the leaders after a difficult opening to the campaign. They have taken one point from five league fixtures, recording no victories, one draw and four defeats. Their latest outing ended in a 4-1 loss against Reggiana on September 16, a result that reflected their recent defensive problems.

The visitors have no wins in their latest five matches, with one draw and four losses during that period. They have averaged 1.0 goal scored per game but conceded 3.0 per match. Their season figures are only slightly less severe defensively, with Vis Pesaro averaging one goal for and 2.4 goals against per league fixture.

That contrast is particularly significant ahead of a meeting with a Spezia side averaging more than two goals across its last five matches. Vis Pesaro have been able to score at a rate of one goal per game, but their concession numbers have repeatedly left them with too much ground to recover. Their position at the bottom of the division is consistent with a run that has delivered four defeats from five league games.

The visitors have also been behind at half-time in six of their last ten matches. Meanwhile, at least one second-half goal has been recorded in each of their previous ten Serie C: Girone B fixtures. As with Spezia's corresponding trend, this statistic concerns the total scoring in those matches rather than goals scored specifically by Vis Pesaro.

Only three of Vis Pesaro's last 15 away league matches finished without a goal, while two of their latest ten away fixtures across the stated sample ended goalless. Those numbers suggest that a scoreless contest has been relatively uncommon in their recent away record, although they do not remove the clear concerns created by the visitors' high rate of goals conceded.

• League position: 20th in Serie C: Girone B.
• Season record: No wins, one draw and four defeats.
• Last five matches: One draw and four defeats.
• Recent scoring average: 1.0 goal per game.
• Recent concession average: 3.0 goals per game.

Spezia vs Vis Pesaro Match Analysis

The form comparison strongly favors Spezia. The hosts have won all of their last five matches, while Vis Pesaro have failed to win during the same span. Spezia's average of 2.2 goals scored and 0.2 conceded across that run is especially striking when placed alongside the visitors' averages of 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.

The season records reinforce the same conclusion. Spezia remain unbeaten and occupy first place, whereas Vis Pesaro are still searching for their first league victory and sit 20th. The supplied win probabilities give Spezia a 64% chance of victory, compared with 23% for the draw and 14% for a Vis Pesaro win.

There are nevertheless some nuances in the goal markets. The probability of over 2.5 goals is 51%, only marginally higher than the 49% assigned to under 2.5. Both teams to score is assessed at 48% for Yes and 52% for No. Spezia's excellent defensive average supports the possibility that the hosts could limit Vis Pesaro, while the visitors' recent concession rate creates a credible route to multiple home goals.

The timing statistics also merit attention. Both teams have long sequences featuring second-half goals, with Spezia's run standing at 18 matches and Vis Pesaro's league sequence at ten. Vis Pesaro's record of trailing at the interval in six of their last ten games additionally raises the possibility that Spezia could establish control before half-time. Overall, however, the clearest conclusion comes from the direct result market: the league leaders' unbeaten start, perfect recent run and defensive consistency make a home victory the most coherent outcome.

Spezia vs Vis Pesaro prediction from BetMines: Spezia win (1) with 64% probability.