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Sport Boys
8:30 PM
October 25, 2026
FC Cajamarca
Prediction published on Oct 24, 2026 1:32 AM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Oct 24, 2026 1:32 AM
Sport Boys host FC Cajamarca on October 25, 2026, in matchday 13 of the Peruvian Primera Division Clausura. Kick-off is scheduled for 20:30 local time at the Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao. Both sides arrive in difficult form: Sport Boys are without a win in five league matches, while FC Cajamarca have failed to win their last three. Defensive records are a central theme in this fixture, with both teams conceding regularly and a high proportion of their recent matches producing more than 2.5 goals.
Sport Boys sit 10th in the Primera Division rankings. Their last five matches have brought one draw and four defeats, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game. The latest setback was a 2-0 loss to ADC Juan Pablo II on October 17. That result extended a winless run which, according to the match context, has taken Sport Boys out of contention for a place in next year's Copa Sudamericana.
The contrast between their recent defending and their wider season record is notable. Across 29 Primera Division matches, Sport Boys have recorded 10 wins, eight draws and 11 losses, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.1 conceded. Yet they have allowed at least one goal in each of their last five games. Four of those five matches went over 2.5 total goals, making their recent results considerably more open than their season-long defensive average might suggest.
Sport Boys must also cope without starting goalkeeper Diego Melián, who is unavailable because of a back problem. His absence comes during a spell in which keeping opponents off the scoresheet has already proved difficult. To end their winless run against FC Cajamarca, the hosts will need an improvement on both sides of the ball: they have conceded heavily over the last five matches while scoring less than once per game on average.
FC Cajamarca are 14th in the Primera Division rankings and remain involved in a fight for survival. They lost 1-0 to UCV Moquegua on October 18 and have now gone three matches without a victory. Over their last five fixtures, they have one win, one draw and three defeats, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per game and conceding 1.8.
The visitors' defensive difficulties extend beyond that short run. FC Cajamarca have conceded 53 goals in 29 league matches, an average of 1.8 per game, and have let in at least one goal in 28 of their last 29 Primera Division fixtures. Their full season record stands at seven wins, seven draws and 15 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match.
Recent scorelines also point to open contests: seven of FC Cajamarca's last nine matches have featured over 2.5 total goals. That does not mean every game has followed the same pattern—their most recent outing ended 1-0—but repeated concessions have made it difficult for them to control results. They now face a Sport Boys side whose own defensive form has slipped sharply over the last five games.
There is pressure on both teams to change their recent results, but neither arrives with a convincing defensive record. Sport Boys have conceded in five consecutive matches and allowed 2.8 goals per game across that stretch. FC Cajamarca, meanwhile, have conceded in 28 of their last 29 league outings. Those figures give this match a clear goals-related theme, even though each team's latest fixture finished below 2.5 goals.
The recent meetings and results offer further context. In their last head-to-head encounter, on May 2, 2026, FC Cajamarca beat Sport Boys 3-2. Sport Boys have since seen four of their last five games clear the 2.5-goal mark, while FC Cajamarca have done so in seven of nine. These are separate runs rather than a guarantee of another high-scoring meeting, but together they explain why the goal total is a key consideration in this preview.
Sport Boys have the stronger league ranking and the better season record, yet their five-match winless streak limits the case for relying on their overall numbers alone. FC Cajamarca have also struggled for results, losing three of their last five and failing to win any of their last three. With both teams seeking a response and both carrying substantial recent defensive concerns, whether either side can contain the other may decide how this Clausura fixture unfolds.
Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sport Boys
FC Cajamarca
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
6
4
5
5
4.5
8
2
6
4