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Prediction published on Jan 29, 2026 10:02 PM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Jan 29, 2026 10:02 PM
The new season of the Peruvian Apertura kicks off with an intriguing clash between Sport Boys and Los Chankas CYC at the Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao. Both sides arrive with contrasting preseason experiences and ambitions, setting the stage for a competitive encounter. The home team, known as the “Rosados,” will be eager to start strong after a disappointing start to the year, while the visitors, the “Guerreros Chankas,” aim to prove that their recent improvements can translate into consistent away performances.
Sport Boys come into this match looking to bounce back from a 0-1 defeat against Alianza Atlético on November 16, 2025. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with just one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. During that stretch, they have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game while conceding 1.8 goals on average, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that need urgent attention.
Despite these struggles, the Callao-based side remains a strong contender at home, where the support of their fans often makes a difference. However, their defensive record at the Estadio Miguel Grau has been concerning, as they have conceded at least one goal in four of their last five home fixtures. The team’s recent transfer activity has brought in reinforcements such as goalkeeper Diego Melian and defender Renzo Alfani, but the departure of key players like Cristian Carbajal could still affect their stability at the back.
Currently sitting first in the Primera Division standings, Sport Boys know that a positive result in this opening fixture would set the tone for their campaign. Their challenge will be to find the right balance between attacking intent and defensive discipline, especially against a side that has shown resilience on the road.
Los Chankas arrive in Callao after a morale-boosting 3-1 victory over Universitario on November 22, 2025. That result capped a solid run of form, with three wins and two defeats in their last five matches. They have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, suggesting a more balanced approach compared to earlier in the year.
However, their away record remains a concern. The Andahuaylas-based team has lost at half time in six of their last ten away matches and has struggled to maintain consistency when playing outside their home ground. In fact, they have not drawn any of their last 17 league matches, a statistic that underlines their all-or-nothing approach. The team’s offensive output away from home has been limited, with only two goals scored in their last five away fixtures, something new coach Walter Paolella will be keen to improve.
Despite losing several key players during the transfer window, including Jose Manzaneda and Jordan Guivin, Los Chankas have shown determination to rebuild. Their current second-place ranking in the league reflects a team capable of competing, but their ability to perform under pressure away from home remains to be tested.
Historically, matches between these two sides have been closely contested. In their last head-to-head meeting on August 23, 2025, Sport Boys won 2-1, but overall, the record slightly favors Los Chankas, with one win, two draws, and two defeats in their last five encounters. Across those games, Sport Boys have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, suggesting that defensive solidity could once again be the deciding factor.
Both teams have shown contrasting tendencies in front of goal. Sport Boys often rely on home advantage to create chances, while Los Chankas tend to struggle offensively when traveling. Given that both sides have averaged fewer than two goals per game in recent weeks, a low-scoring contest could be on the cards. The balance between attack and defense will be crucial, especially for the visitors, who have a tendency to lose focus in the first half of away matches.
With both teams eager to start the Apertura on the right foot, this fixture promises intensity and tactical discipline rather than open attacking football. The home side’s defensive lapses and the visitors’ inconsistent away form could lead to a cautious approach from both managers.
According to the latest probabilities, Sport Boys have a 55% chance of winning, the draw stands at 25%, and a Los Chankas win is estimated at 20%. The data also shows a balanced outlook for goals, with Over 2.5 goals and Under 2.5 goals both at 50%, while Both Teams To Score – Yes has a 51% likelihood.
Considering the recent performances and head-to-head trends, the BetMines prediction leans towards a low-scoring match. The most likely outcome is Under 2.5 goals, reflecting the cautious nature of both teams and their recent scoring averages.
Sport Boys vs Los Chankas prediction by BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 50% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sport Boys
Los Chankas
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
4
6
4
6
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
8
2
8
2