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Sport Boys
1 - 3
FT
Melgar
Prediction published on Apr 13, 2026 9:05 AM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Apr 13, 2026 9:05 AM
The Miguel Grau Stadium hosts an intriguing clash between Sport Boys and Melgar in matchday 10 of the Peruvian Apertura. Both sides arrive under pressure to improve their recent results, with the home team fighting to move away from the relegation zone and the visitors looking to end a worrying winless streak. The encounter promises to be tight, with both teams showing difficulties in front of goal and defensive inconsistencies that have cost them valuable points in recent weeks.
Sport Boys come into this fixture after a 3-2 defeat against Deportivo Garcilaso on April 4, 2026. That result left them in 16th place in the Primera Division standings, with a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses so far this season. Their attack has struggled to find consistency, averaging just 0.9 goals scored per game, while conceding an average of 1.3 goals. Despite these numbers, the team has shown resilience at home, remaining unbeaten in their last four matches played in the Callao.
In their last five league outings, the “Rosados” have managed 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 1.8. One of the main concerns for the coaching staff is their tendency to start slowly, as they have trailed at half time in 7 of their last 11 league matches. Improving their defensive concentration in the early stages could be key to securing a positive result against Melgar.
Melgar also arrive in need of a turnaround after losing 1-3 to Cusco FC on April 4, 2026. That result extended their winless run to five matches (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats), leaving them in 11th place in the table. Their attacking output has been modest, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per game this season, while conceding the same number on average. Away from home, the “Domino” have found it difficult to impose themselves, winning only one of their last four away fixtures in the Apertura.
The Arequipa-based side will also have to cope with several absences for this match, including four unavailable players. Among them is their historic top scorer, Bernardo Cuesta, who is suspended after being sent off in the previous round. His absence could significantly affect Melgar’s attacking efficiency, forcing the team to rely on collective play and set pieces to find scoring opportunities.
The upcoming match between Sport Boys and Melgar is expected to be a balanced contest, with both sides struggling to find consistency in attack. The home team will look to take advantage of their solid record at the Miguel Grau Stadium, where they have remained unbeaten in four matches, while Melgar will aim to break their negative streak and regain confidence away from home. Historically, the head-to-head record favors the visitors, with Melgar winning four of the last five meetings, although the most recent encounter ended 1-0 in favor of Sport Boys on October 20, 2025.
Given the current form of both teams, a low-scoring affair seems likely. Sport Boys’ limited attacking output and Melgar’s absences, particularly that of Cuesta, suggest that clear chances may be scarce. The hosts will rely on their defensive organization and home support, while the visitors will attempt to control possession and exploit any counterattacking opportunities that arise.
Based on the available data and recent performances, the BetMines prediction for this match points toward a low-scoring encounter. Both teams have struggled to convert chances, and with Melgar missing key attacking players, the likelihood of a goal fest is reduced. Therefore, the recommended prediction is Under 2.5 goals, reflecting the cautious approach both sides are expected to adopt in this crucial Apertura fixture.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sport Boys
Melgar
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
8
2
9
1