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Sport Huancayo
2 - 1
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ADC Juan Pablo II
Prediction published on May 8, 2026 11:04 PM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on May 8, 2026 11:04 PM
The upcoming clash between Sport Huancayo and ADC Juan Pablo II promises to be a crucial battle in the Peruvian Primera Division Apertura. Both teams are struggling in the lower part of the table and will be desperate to secure three points to move away from the relegation zone. The hosts, known as the “Rojo Matador,” return home after a difficult run of results, while the visitors, the “Auriblancos,” continue to search for consistency after a series of disappointing defensive performances. With both sides conceding heavily this season, this encounter could deliver plenty of action and tension from start to finish.
Sport Huancayo enter this match ranked 16th in the Primera Division, having endured a challenging campaign so far. Their recent 4-1 defeat against Alianza Atlético on May 3 highlighted their ongoing defensive issues, as they have now conceded 22 goals in 13 matches. Over their last five fixtures, the team has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Despite these struggles, their home form remains a source of hope — they have lost only one of their last five matches at the Estadio Huancayo.
Across the season, the “Rojo Matador” have a record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. One notable trend is their ability to stay competitive in the second half: over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in each of their last 10 league games. This suggests that Huancayo often grow into matches, finding more rhythm and attacking intent as the game progresses.
Huancayo’s main challenge remains defensive stability. Conceding an average of nearly two goals per game has cost them valuable points, but their attacking output at home could make the difference here. Historically, they have dominated this fixture, winning both previous meetings with an impressive average of 3.0 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per match.
ADC Juan Pablo II arrive in Huancayo sitting slightly higher in the standings at 14th place, but their situation is far from comfortable. The team’s 1-4 defeat against Universitario on May 3 exposed once again their defensive frailties — they have now conceded 31 goals in just 13 league matches, the worst record in the division. Over their last five games, they have managed 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match.
Throughout the season, the “Auriblancos” have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game. Their defensive line has been particularly vulnerable, having allowed at least one goal in each of their last 22 Primera Division fixtures. Moreover, their matches tend to be open and high-scoring — over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in each of their last 16 games, and over 0.5 goals in the second half have also occurred in all of those encounters.
ADC Juan Pablo II’s main concern will be their defensive organization. Even though they have shown flashes of attacking potential, their inability to keep clean sheets has been a recurring issue. Playing away from home against a side that tends to perform better in front of their fans could make this a difficult evening for them. The absence of key players, including suspended midfielder Christian Cueva, further complicates their task.
This fixture brings together two teams that have struggled defensively but still possess attacking intent. Sport Huancayo will look to capitalize on their home advantage and their strong record against ADC Juan Pablo II, having won both previous meetings comfortably. The visitors, meanwhile, will aim to tighten their backline and rely on quick transitions to surprise the hosts.
Given the statistical trends, goals are likely to feature in this match. Both teams have been involved in games with frequent second-half scoring, and neither side has shown the ability to consistently keep opponents out. However, Huancayo’s superior home form and head-to-head dominance make them slight favorites to take all three points.
According to the latest probabilities, Sport Huancayo have a 68% chance of winning, the draw stands at 19%, and an ADC Juan Pablo II victory is rated at 13%. These numbers reflect the hosts’ advantage, especially considering their resilience at home and the visitors’ defensive instability.
BetMines prediction for Sport Huancayo vs ADC Juan Pablo II:
Home Win (1) with a probability of 68%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sport Huancayo
ADC Juan Pablo II
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
2
8
5
5
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
8
2
8
2