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Prediction published on Mar 12, 2026 7:04 PM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Mar 12, 2026 7:04 PM
The upcoming clash between Sport Huancayo and ADT Tarma promises to be an intriguing battle in the Peruvian Primera Division. Both sides arrive at this fixture looking to bounce back from recent defeats, with Huancayo losing 2-1 away to UCV Moquegua and ADT falling 2-3 at home to ADC Juan Pablo II. The encounter will be crucial for both teams as they aim to climb the standings and regain consistency after mixed results in the early stages of the season.
Sport Huancayo have shown flashes of quality but remain inconsistent. Their recent record in the league stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, placing them 9th in the table. The team has scored an average of 1.3 goals per match while conceding the same number, reflecting a balanced yet unpredictable performance pattern. In their last five outings, they have recorded 2 victories, 1 draw, and 2 losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Playing at home has been a major strength for Huancayo. They have scored at least one goal in each of their last 16 home matches in the Primera Division, and over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in their last 11 home fixtures. Moreover, the second half tends to be lively when they play in front of their fans, with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in 20 of their last 22 home games. These numbers underline their attacking intent and the likelihood of seeing goals when they host ADT Tarma.
Despite their recent defeat in Moquegua, Huancayo remain a well-organized side at home, often pushing forward with intensity and creating multiple scoring chances. Their ability to maintain pressure and find the net consistently makes them a dangerous opponent, especially in front of their supporters.
ADT Tarma have endured a challenging start to the campaign, currently sitting 16th in the standings with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses. Their attacking output has been modest, averaging 0.8 goals per game, while defensively they have conceded 1.3 on average. In their last five matches, ADT have managed just one victory, alongside two draws and two defeats, scoring one goal per game and conceding slightly more.
Although they have shown moments of resilience, ADT’s away form remains a concern. In two of their last ten away matches, fewer than 0.5 goals have been scored, suggesting a tendency for low-scoring encounters on the road. Their defensive structure often struggles against teams that press high, and facing a side like Huancayo, who thrive at home, could expose those weaknesses once again.
Despite their struggles, ADT Tarma remain a combative and determined side. Their attacking play can be unpredictable, and they often rely on quick transitions to surprise opponents. However, their defensive lapses have cost them valuable points, and improving their solidity at the back will be key if they are to take anything from this match.
Historically, this fixture has been competitive, with the last head-to-head ending 1-0 in favor of Sport Huancayo. However, ADT have had the upper hand in previous meetings, winning four of the last five encounters. On average, matches between these two sides produce 2.4 goals, with Huancayo scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6 per game in those clashes.
Given the current form and statistical trends, this match is expected to be tightly contested. Huancayo’s attacking consistency at home contrasts with ADT’s defensive fragility away, suggesting that the hosts could have a slight edge. Nevertheless, both teams have shown vulnerabilities at the back, which could lead to an open and entertaining contest.
According to the latest probabilities, Sport Huancayo have a 58% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 24% and an ADT Tarma victory at 18%. The Over 2.5 goals market is finely balanced, with a 52% likelihood of being surpassed, while Both Teams To Score is evenly split at 50%.
Taking into account Huancayo’s strong home scoring record and ADT’s defensive issues, the most likely scenario points towards a home win, though a competitive match with goals at both ends cannot be ruled out.
Sport Huancayo vs ADT Tarma prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sport Huancayo
ADT
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
2
8
5
5
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
8
2
9
1