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Prediction published on Feb 13, 2026 11:02 PM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Feb 13, 2026 11:02 PM
The third round of the Peruvian Apertura takes us to an intriguing clash between Sport Huancayo and FC Cajamarca. Both sides are still searching for their first win of the season, and this encounter could prove decisive in shaping their early campaign momentum. The hosts, known as the “Rojo Matador”, have struggled to find consistency at home, while the visitors, the “Azul y Oro”, arrive unbeaten but still without a victory in the new league season. With both teams eager to climb the table, this fixture promises intensity and tactical balance.
Sport Huancayo have endured a difficult start to the 2026 Primera Division campaign. After drawing 0-0 against Atlético Grau on February 7, they remain winless in their first two matches of the season (0 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat). Their overall form across the last five games shows 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Ranked 15th in the table, the team must improve both defensively and offensively to regain confidence.
Despite their struggles, Huancayo’s home matches have been lively. At least one goal has been scored in each of their last 14 home league games, and over 0.5 goals have been recorded at half time in their last 11 home fixtures. Moreover, the second half tends to be particularly active, with over 0.5 goals scored in 18 of their last 20 matches. These trends suggest that while the team often finds the net, defensive lapses have cost them valuable points.
Another positive sign is their ability to start strong at home — they have led at half time in 6 of their last 10 home league matches. However, maintaining that advantage has been their main challenge. To secure their first win of the season, Huancayo will need to tighten their back line and make better use of their attacking opportunities.
FC Cajamarca have shown more stability in the early stages of the season, sitting 10th in the standings after two consecutive draws. Their latest result was a 1-1 draw against Deportivo Garcilaso on February 9. Over their last five matches, they have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. This attacking efficiency has been one of their main strengths, although defensive consistency remains a concern.
On the road, however, Cajamarca’s record is less impressive. They have managed just one win in their last ten away matches, often struggling to impose their attacking rhythm outside their home ground. In fact, under 0.5 total goals have been scored in 4 of their last 10 away fixtures, showing that their offensive output tends to drop when playing as visitors. Still, their current unbeaten streak of four matches in all competitions provides a psychological boost heading into this encounter.
Much of Cajamarca’s attacking threat revolves around their Argentine striker Hernán Barcos, who has already scored three goals in the first two rounds. His form will be crucial if the visitors are to break down Huancayo’s defense. However, the team faces this match with two injury absences, which could limit their options in key areas of the pitch.
This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting strengths. Sport Huancayo rely on their home advantage and attacking energy, while FC Cajamarca have shown more balance but remain vulnerable away from home. The hosts will aim to end a run of three consecutive home defeats, while the visitors seek to extend their unbeaten streak.
Statistically, Huancayo’s matches tend to produce goals, especially in the second half, whereas Cajamarca’s away games often feature fewer scoring chances. The key battle could be between Huancayo’s defensive organization and Barcos’s finishing ability. If the home side can contain the Argentine forward, they may have a real chance to secure their first win of the season.
According to the latest data, the win probabilities stand at Sport Huancayo 53%, Draw 25%, and FC Cajamarca 22%. The likelihood of Both Teams To Score – Yes is 55%, while Over 2.5 goals has a 54% probability. These figures suggest a balanced contest with a slight edge for the home team and a fair chance of goals at both ends.
Sport Huancayo vs FC Cajamarca prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score – Yes with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sport Huancayo
FC Cajamarca
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
2
8
3
7
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
8
2
8
2