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Sport Recife vs Flamengo Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Serie A 15-11-2025

Sport Recife

1 - 5

FT

Flamengo

Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
R. Klein
sky is clear °C

Prediction published on Nov 13, 2025 10:05 PM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Nov 13, 2025 10:05 PM

Sport Recife and Flamengo will meet on Saturday, November 15, 2025, at 18:30 in a rescheduled fixture from the 15th round of the Brazilian Serie A. The match was postponed due to Flamengo’s participation in the Club World Cup. This encounter brings together two sides at opposite ends of the table, with the visitors from Rio de Janeiro arriving as clear favorites thanks to their superior squad depth and overall quality, even if their recent form has shown some inconsistencies.


Sport Recife’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Sport Recife are enduring a very difficult campaign and currently sit bottom of the Serie A standings. The team has gone ten matches without a win, collecting only three draws and suffering seven defeats in that span. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-4 loss against Atlético Mineiro on November 8, underlining their defensive fragility and inability to control games.


Across the season, Sport Recife’s record stands at just two wins, eleven draws, and nineteen losses, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. The Leão have failed to win in 31 of their last 33 matches overall, and in 30 of their last 32 Serie A fixtures. Their attack has struggled to find rhythm, while the defense has been consistently exposed, particularly in the second half of games, where over 0.5 goals have been scored in 19 of their last 21 league matches.


Coach César Lucena faces numerous absences for this clash. Denis, Hereda, Pedro Augusto, Silva, and Zé Roberto are all sidelined through injury, while Derik Lacerda has been dismissed from the squad and Matheus Alexandre is suspended. In addition, Zé Lucas is away on international duty. The likely lineup could feature Gabriel Vasconcelos in goal, with Rafael Thyere and Luan Cândido in defense, and Lucas Lima and Matheusinho tasked with creating chances in midfield. Despite their struggles, Sport will rely on home support to make life difficult for their illustrious opponents, as they often raise their game at the Ilha do Retiro.


Flamengo’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Flamengo come into this match as strong contenders for the title, sitting second in the Serie A table. They recently defeated Santos 3-2 on November 9, showing their attacking power but also some defensive lapses. Over their last five matches, the Rubro-Negro have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their season record is impressive: 20 wins, 8 draws, and only 4 losses, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match.


Flamengo’s consistency is also evident in their first-half performances, as they have not trailed at halftime in 23 of their last 25 Serie A games. However, coach Filipe Luís must deal with several absences due to international call-ups and injuries. Key players such as Arrascaeta, Alex Sandro, Danilo, Carrascal, Plata, Varela, and Viña are away with their national teams, while Jorginho, Allan, Léo Ortiz, and Pedro are injured. Even so, Flamengo’s squad depth allows them to field a competitive lineup, potentially including Rossi in goal, Emerson Royal and Ayrton Lucas in defense, Pulgar and De La Cruz in midfield, and Samuel Lino and Luiz Araújo leading the attack.


Despite some recent setbacks, Flamengo remain one of the most balanced teams in Brazil, combining a solid defense with a creative and efficient attack. Their away form has also been strong, and they will look to impose their rhythm early against a struggling opponent.


Sport Recife vs Flamengo Prediction and Tactical Overview


This fixture highlights the contrast between a side fighting for survival and another chasing the championship. Sport Recife have been unable to find stability, suffering from a lack of confidence and cohesion, while Flamengo continue to show their superiority in most areas of the pitch. The visitors’ defensive organization and attacking options make them clear favorites, even with several absentees.


Historically, Flamengo have dominated this matchup, winning four of the last five meetings, including a 3-0 victory earlier this month. Sport’s inability to score consistently and their defensive vulnerability suggest that the hosts will struggle to contain Flamengo’s offensive pressure. However, given the home side’s tendency to defend deep and the visitors’ potential fatigue from international duties, the match could feature fewer goals than expected.


Flamengo are likely to control possession and create the majority of chances, while Sport Recife may rely on counterattacks and set pieces. If the visitors strike early, they could manage the tempo and secure a comfortable win. A 2-0 result for Flamengo would not be surprising, reflecting both their superiority and Sport’s ongoing difficulties in front of goal.


Sport Recife vs Flamengo prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Flamengo win (2) with a 58% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 27%, while a Sport Recife win (1) stands at 16%.

Sport Recife vs Flamengo - Predictions

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Sport Recife vs Flamengo: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Sport Recife

Flamengo

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

70%

7

30%

3

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

90%

9

10%

1

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

BetMines

Standings of Sport Recife and Flamengo in Serie A

Who will win ?

Sport Recife vs Flamengo: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Sport Recife vs Flamengo be played?
The Serie A match between Sport Recife and Flamengo will be played on November 15, 2025 at 21:30.
Where will Sport Recife vs Flamengo be played?
The match between Sport Recife and Flamengo will be played at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Recife - Brazil
Who will referee Sport Recife vs Flamengo?
The referee for the match will be R. Klein.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Sport Recife vs Flamengo in the Serie A?
The odds are: Sport Recife to win 7.50, draw 4.75, Flamengo to win 1.40.
What are the betting odds for Sport Recife vs Flamengo for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Serie A?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.80 and Under 2.5 at 2.00.
Will both Sport Recife and Flamengo score in the Serie A?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.95, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.80.
What is the most likely correct score for Sport Recife vs Flamengo in the Serie A?
The most likely correct score is 0-2, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Sport Recife and Flamengo?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Sport Recife and Flamengo, Sport Recife won 0 times, Flamengo won 4, and 1 ended in a draw.

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