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Sporting CP II
10:00 AM
October 24, 2026
Portimonense SAD
Prediction published on Oct 22, 2026 10:33 AM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal 2 | Modified on Oct 22, 2026 10:33 AM
Sporting CP II host Portimonense SAD on Saturday, October 24, in the eighth round of Liga Portugal 2. Kick-off is scheduled for 10:00 local time at Estádio Aurélio Pereira in Alcochete. Sporting CP II enter the fixture second in the league with 15 points, two behind leaders Lusitânia de Lourosa, while Portimonense SAD are 11th with 10 points. Both sides arrive with a win in their most recently listed match, but their season records tell different stories: the hosts have won five of seven league games, whereas the visitors have won three, drawn one and lost three. Their last meeting produced a 4-3 Sporting CP II victory, although Portimonense SAD’s more recent goal trends suggest this encounter may follow a different pattern.
Sporting CP II beat Vizela 2-0 away on October 10, taking their last-five-match record to three wins and two defeats. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across those five games. In Liga Portugal 2 this season, their record stands at five wins, no draws and two losses, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match. The clean sheet against Vizela offers an encouraging defensive reference point ahead of a game against visitors who won their latest listed fixture.
Draws have been particularly rare for the hosts. Sporting CP II have not shared the points in their last 20 home Liga Portugal 2 matches, and 29 of their last 30 league games have also ended with a winner. They have scored in every home match referenced in the match context, giving Portimonense SAD a clear challenge even though Sporting’s recent results have not been uniformly positive. The home side have a chance to maintain pressure near the top, but their two defeats in the last five matches show why this fixture cannot be treated as a formality.
Another notable home-team trend concerns corners rather than goals: Sporting CP II’s last 17 Liga Portugal 2 matches have each featured under 10.5 corners. It is a consistent statistic, though their results, scoring figures and Portimonense SAD’s away-goal record offer more direct clues about how the scoreline might develop.
Portimonense SAD recorded a 2-1 away win over Florgrade on October 17. Like their hosts, they have three wins and two defeats in their last five matches, but their scoring average over that spell is lower at 1.0 goal per game; they have also conceded an average of 1.0. Their Liga Portugal 2 record is three wins, one draw and three losses, with 0.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match on average.
The visitors have won their last three away trips according to the match context, although two of those victories came against lower-division opposition in the Taça de Portugal. That distinction matters when weighing up their away form against a Sporting CP II side sitting second in the league. Portimonense SAD have shown they can win on the road, but their league scoring average remains below one goal per match.
The clearest pattern in Portimonense SAD’s results is the absence of high-scoring games. Under 3.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 11 matches and each of their last 12 away matches. The same threshold has held in their last 10 away fixtures specifically in Liga Portugal 2. These figures refer to goals scored by both teams combined, not just to Portimonense SAD’s own output, and they provide a useful counterweight to the seven-goal scoreline in the clubs’ previous meeting.
The last head-to-head finished 4-3 to Sporting CP II on February 15, 2026, but that single result does not settle the outlook for Saturday. Across the five meetings covered by the head-to-head summary, Sporting CP II have two wins and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. The history therefore includes evidence that Portimonense SAD can trouble the hosts, while offering no guarantee of another open game.
Sporting CP II’s position, home scoring record and 2-0 win over Vizela make a strong case for their ability to create chances. Portimonense SAD, meanwhile, have recent away wins and come into the match after beating Florgrade. The question is how those attacking positives fit with the visitors’ sustained run of matches finishing below four total goals. Their season average of 0.9 goals scored also suggests caution about expecting a repeat of the previous 4-3 encounter.
The supplied figures make this a difficult match to call on the result alone: the win probabilities are 34% for Sporting CP II, 28% for a draw and 38% for Portimonense SAD. On goals, the figures give under 2.5 goals a 58% probability, alongside the repeated under-3.5 trend in Portimonense SAD’s matches. A competitive fixture remains plausible given both teams’ recent wins, but the visitors’ scoring and away-match statistics point towards a more restrained scoreline than their last head-to-head produced.
Sporting CP II vs Portimonense SAD prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sporting CP II
Portimonense SAD
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
6
4
7
3
3.5
8
2
10
0
4.5
10
0
10
0