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Sporting Cristal
8:30 PM
October 29, 2026
Alianza Lima
Prediction published on Oct 27, 2026 11:33 PM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Oct 27, 2026 11:33 PM
Sporting Cristal host Alianza Lima at Estadio Alberto Gallardo in Lima on October 29, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 20:30 local time. This Primera Division meeting brings together two sides that have each won four of their last five matches. Sporting Cristal are fourth in the league ranking and Alianza Lima sixth, but their recent records point to a close contest: the home side have gone 12 matches unbeaten on their own ground across all competitions, while the visitors have not lost any of their last seven meetings with Sporting Cristal. Both teams also arrive with clear strengths in front of goal or in defence, making the opening stages particularly interesting.
Sporting Cristal are looking to respond after a 3-1 defeat away to Cusco FC on October 24 ended a run of seven consecutive wins. Despite that setback, their last five matches have produced four victories and one defeat, with averages of 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. The Cusco result interrupted an excellent sequence, but it did not change the fact that Sporting Cristal have found the net regularly over a longer stretch.
Across 30 Primera Division matches, Sporting Cristal have recorded 13 wins, five draws and 12 losses. They have scored 54 league goals, an average of 1.8 per game, while conceding 1.5 per match. Their scoring record has also held up over recent fixtures: they have scored at least once in 26 of their last 28 Primera Division games. Those figures give the home side a reason to expect chances, even against an Alianza Lima defence that has allowed only 20 goals in 30 league matches.
Home form is another important part of Sporting Cristal's case. They are unbeaten in their last 12 home matches in all competitions and have scored at least once in each of their last 13 home league games. Their starts have been productive, too: Sporting Cristal have led at half-time in their last four Primera Division home fixtures, as well as in six of their last ten league matches overall. Returning home after the Cusco defeat offers them an opportunity to put those trends to use against an opponent they have struggled to beat in recent meetings.
Alianza Lima arrive after a 1-0 victory away to UCV Moquegua on October 25. They have won three consecutive league matches, and their broader five-game record matches Sporting Cristal's: four wins and one defeat. Over those five fixtures, Alianza Lima have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. They have also been the first team to score in four of their last five games, a useful pattern ahead of a match against hosts with a strong record of leading at the interval.
Alianza Lima's season numbers underline their defensive strength. Their 30 Primera Division games have brought 19 wins, eight draws and three defeats, with averages of 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. They have conceded 20 league goals in total, while scoring at least once in 20 of their last 21 league matches. That combination of regular scoring and relatively few goals allowed helps explain why they enter this fixture on a three-match league winning run.
The visitors have also been difficult to put behind early in games. Alianza Lima have avoided a half-time deficit in 36 of their last 40 matches and in 18 of their last 20 away fixtures. At least one first-half goal has been scored in 19 of their last 21 Primera Division matches. Full-time scores on the road have tended to stay within a narrower range, with fewer than 3.5 total goals in 19 of their last 20 away games. Those figures suggest an early goal is possible without requiring the match to become high-scoring.
The recent head-to-head record adds another layer to this Primera Division preview. Alianza Lima have gone seven meetings without defeat against Sporting Cristal. In the supplied five-match head-to-head summary from Sporting Cristal's perspective, there have been four draws and one Alianza Lima win, with Sporting Cristal averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The most recent meeting finished 1-1 on May 10, 2026. Those results show how often the teams have been difficult to separate, even as their current home and away trends present different advantages.
For Sporting Cristal, the key question is whether their consistent home scoring can break through a defence conceding just 0.7 goals per league game on average. For Alianza Lima, it is whether their recent habit of scoring first can overcome a home side that has led at half-time in four consecutive league matches at Estadio Alberto Gallardo. Both sides have strong recent scoring records, but Alianza Lima's away games have also rarely exceeded three total goals. That leaves room for a competitive fixture without assuming it will be an open, high-scoring one.
The first half offers the clearest statistical theme. Sporting Cristal's sequence of home half-time leads meets an Alianza Lima run in which 19 of the last 21 league games have contained a goal before the break. The visitors' strong record of avoiding half-time deficits means neither side can be treated as certain to lead, but the supplied trends give substantial support to a goal in the opening 45 minutes.
Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 78% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
3
7
6
4
3.5
4
6
9
1
4.5
6
4
10
0