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Sporting Cristal
3 - 1
FT
Atlético Grau
Prediction published on Sep 17, 2026 9:12 PM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Sep 17, 2026 9:12 PM
Sporting Cristal host Atlético Grau in the Peruvian Primera Division on September 19, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 20:30 local time at Estadio Alberto Gallardo in Lima. The teams enter this fixture next to each other in the rankings, with Sporting Cristal fifth and Atlético Grau sixth. Both also arrive after victories on September 13, adding further interest to a match between two sides enjoying productive attacking spells. Sporting Cristal have won three of their last five games and have scored an average of 2.4 goals during that sequence, while Atlético Grau have also recorded three victories across their previous five fixtures and averaged 2.2 goals scored. Recent results, season-long defensive numbers and the scoring pattern in their direct meetings all suggest that goalmouth action could play a major role in this Primera Division encounter.
Sporting Cristal approach the match after securing a 2-1 away victory against UCV Moquegua on September 13. That result continued a positive period in which they have won three of their last five matches, losing the other two. Their attacking output across those five games has been particularly notable, reaching an average of 2.4 goals scored per match, compared with 1.2 conceded.
Across the Primera Division campaign, Sporting Cristal have registered 10 wins, five draws and 11 defeats. They have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. The supplied campaign figures also show 45 goals scored and 39 allowed over 26 rounds, underlining how their attacking production has been accompanied by defensive vulnerability. Five of their previous six matches have finished with more than 2.5 total goals, reinforcing the expectation of another open contest.
Home performances provide Sporting Cristal with another encouraging reference point. They did not lose any of their first four home matches in the Clausura, and they have now scored at least once in each of their last 13 Primera Division home games. That long scoring sequence means their attacking threat has remained consistent when playing as the home side. With points required to remain involved in the title race, their ability to create and convert opportunities will once again be central to the match.
Atlético Grau also come into the fixture on the back of a victory, having beaten Alianza Atlético 3-1 on September 13. Their last five matches have produced three wins, one draw and only one defeat. During that period, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, so their recent games have combined effective attacking displays with regular opportunities for their opponents.
The visitors have won four of their last five Clausura matches according to the supplied preview information, and four of those five contests have gone beyond 2.5 total goals. Their wider Primera Division record stands at nine victories, five draws and 12 defeats, with season averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.1 conceded. Those full-season figures are more restrained than their recent five-match numbers, highlighting the contrast between their overall record and their latest attacking form.
Atlético Grau have also experienced difficulties keeping Sporting Cristal off the scoresheet. They have failed to record a clean sheet in the last 13 head-to-head meetings referenced in the supplied information. Their away scoring record has included two goalless performances across their last 10 Primera Division trips, but their latest 3-1 win and recent average of 2.2 goals show that they arrive with positive attacking momentum.
The available numbers give Sporting Cristal a clear advantage in the result market. Their win probability is 70%, compared with 19% for a draw and 11% for an Atlético Grau victory. The home side have also won three of the five matches included in the head-to-head summary, with one draw and one defeat. However, the average head-to-head scoring figures are balanced at 1.4 goals for Sporting Cristal and 1.4 conceded.
The most recent meeting ended in a commanding 4-1 Sporting Cristal victory on April 22, 2026. More broadly, six of the last eight direct encounters have featured at least three goals. That trend fits the current form of both teams: five of Sporting Cristal's previous six matches and four of Atlético Grau's last five have exceeded the 2.5-goal line.
Sporting Cristal's reliable home scoring record strengthens the case for the hosts to find the net again, while their average of 1.5 goals conceded across the season prevents the defensive side of the contest from being overlooked. Atlético Grau, meanwhile, have conceded an average of 1.6 goals over their latest five matches despite losing only once during that run. The combination of those figures points toward a game in which attacking output may be more decisive than defensive control.
The statistical probability for over 2.5 goals is 59%, compared with 41% for under 2.5. Although the Both Teams To Score market is more evenly divided, with No at 52% and Yes at 48%, the repeated high-scoring patterns are the stronger theme. Recent form for both clubs, Sporting Cristal's 13-match home scoring streak and the goal totals from recent head-to-head meetings provide consistent support for a match featuring at least three goals.
Sporting Cristal vs Atlético Grau prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sporting Cristal
Atlético Grau
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
4
6
4
6
4.5
6
4
9
1