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Sporting Gijón
12:00 PM
September 13, 2026
Eldense
Prediction published on Sep 11, 2026 12:06 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on Sep 11, 2026 12:06 PM
Sporting Gijón welcome Eldense to the Estadio Municipal El Molinón on Sunday, September 13, with kick-off scheduled for 12:00 local time. The match opens the fifth round of the 2026/27 La Liga 2 season and brings together teams that have made contrasting starts. Sporting are eighth after collecting seven points from four matches, while Eldense sit 20th with two points and are still searching for their first league victory. Both sides enter the fixture after failing to score on September 5: Sporting suffered a 2-0 home defeat against Girona, whereas Eldense drew 0-0 with Mallorca. The home side nevertheless have the stronger early-season record and will be looking to respond immediately to their first league loss of the campaign.
Sporting Gijón began their La Liga 2 campaign with two victories and one draw before losing to Girona. Their season record now stands at two wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per league match. Those numbers show that their opening four fixtures have generally been decided by narrow margins, with the team scoring and conceding at the same modest rate.
The 2-0 defeat against Girona on September 5 ended Sporting’s unbeaten league start. According to the wider five-match sample, the hosts have registered two wins, one draw and two losses, scoring an average of 0.8 goals and conceding 1.2 per game. That recent sequence is less convincing than their four-match league record, but Sporting still approach this contest with more victories and fewer defeats than their visitors.
The available home statistic also provides useful context. Only two of Sporting’s last ten home matches in La Liga 2 have finished with under 0.5 total goals. In other words, eight of those ten fixtures produced at least one goal between the two teams. This does not necessarily point toward a high-scoring contest, especially given Sporting’s current league averages, but it suggests that a completely goalless match has been relatively uncommon in their recent home schedule.
Sporting are currently eighth in La Liga 2, twelve places above Eldense. With home advantage and a stronger opening record, the hosts have a clear opportunity to recover from the Girona result. However, their average of only 0.5 goals scored per league game indicates that converting superiority into a comfortable winning margin may not be straightforward.
Eldense travel to Gijón after a goalless draw against Mallorca. It was their second draw of the season, following defeats against Almería and Leganés during the opening four rounds. Their league record is zero wins, two draws and two defeats, leaving them 20th in the standings and without a victory at this stage of the campaign.
The visitors have averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per La Liga 2 match. Their defensive average is therefore one goal per game worse than Sporting’s, while both teams share the same scoring average. Eldense’s broader five-match form follows a similar pattern: no victories, two draws and three defeats, with 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per fixture. Their principal challenge is clear from those figures, as they have combined a limited scoring return with a higher rate of goals allowed.
The 0-0 result against Mallorca at least brought Eldense a point and a clean sheet immediately before this trip. Even so, their winless five-match sequence means they arrive with less positive momentum than Sporting. One notable timing trend is that 18 of Eldense’s last 20 matches have featured over 0.5 goals in the second half. That statistic indicates that at least one goal after the interval has occurred in 90% of those games, making the later stages particularly relevant to this preview.
Eldense’s position does not make an away result impossible, but the comparison is difficult for the visitors. They have conceded an average of 1.5 league goals per match, while Sporting have allowed only 0.5. Eldense will consequently need to improve on both their recent scoring average and their overall defensive record if they are to earn their first win of the season in Gijón.
The statistical picture gives Sporting Gijón the advantage, although it also points toward a potentially tight match. The supplied probabilities assign Sporting a 54% chance of victory, compared with 25% for the draw and 21% for an Eldense win. That assessment is consistent with the league records: the hosts have won two of four games, while the visitors have yet to record a victory.
Goals may be limited if the teams maintain their early-season scoring levels. Both are averaging 0.5 goals per league fixture, while the under 2.5-goals probability is 55% and the probability for both teams not to score is 54%. Sporting’s better defensive average strengthens that low-scoring interpretation, but Eldense’s recurring second-half trend leaves room for the match to open up after the break.
The head-to-head data adds another reason for Sporting to approach the contest confidently. The supplied summary credits Sporting with three wins and one draw, alongside averages of 1.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded. The most recent listed meeting finished 1-2 on April 13, 2025. Taken together with the current form and league figures, the overall evidence favors the home side, but Sporting’s modest scoring output suggests patience may be required before the difference between the teams becomes visible.
Sporting Gijón vs Eldense prediction from BetMines: Sporting Gijón win (1) with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sporting Gijón
Eldense
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
5
5
3
7
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
7
3
10
0