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SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Nürnberg Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | 2. Bundesliga 03-05-2026

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

1 - 1

FT

Nürnberg

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer
Sören Storks
overcast clouds 26.03 °C

Prediction published on May 1, 2026 6:01 PM by Dario in Germany - 2. Bundesliga | Modified on May 1, 2026 6:01 PM

The upcoming 2. Bundesliga clash between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and FC Nürnberg promises to be one of the most intense fixtures of the weekend. Scheduled for May 3 at 13:30, this Franconian derby carries enormous weight for both sides — Fürth fighting for survival near the bottom of the table, and Nürnberg aiming to consolidate their mid-table position. With local pride and crucial points at stake, fans can expect a passionate and competitive encounter.


SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Fighting to Stay Alive


SpVgg Greuther Fürth enter this match under pressure, sitting 17th in the 2. Bundesliga standings. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five matches (1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats). The team’s latest outing ended in a 2-1 loss against VfL Bochum 1848 on April 26, a result that further complicated their battle against relegation. Over the course of the season, Fürth have recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 16 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game — a clear sign of defensive fragility.


Despite these struggles, Fürth’s experienced players have shown flashes of leadership in recent weeks, and the squad will need to rely on that experience to turn things around. The home crowd could play a vital role in lifting the team’s morale, especially in a derby where emotions often outweigh form. Fürth’s main challenge will be to tighten their defense and convert their limited chances into goals, as they have often failed to capitalize on key moments in recent matches.



  • Ranking: 17th in 2. Bundesliga

  • Last 5 matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

  • Average goals: 0.8 scored, 1.4 conceded (last 5)

  • Season record: W 9 · D 6 · L 16


FC Nürnberg: Stability and Momentum


FC Nürnberg approach this derby in better shape, currently 8th in the table and showing signs of consistency. Their recent 1-0 victory over Magdeburg on April 26 extended a solid run of results — 2 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 defeat in their last five matches. Over the season, Nürnberg have maintained a balanced record of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. This equilibrium reflects a team that may not dominate but rarely collapses.


One of Nürnberg’s key strengths has been their resilience, particularly in the first half of matches. They have avoided defeat at halftime in 19 of their last 21 league games, often setting the tone early. However, their away record reveals defensive vulnerabilities — they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 20 away fixtures. On the attacking side, Nürnberg tend to come alive after the break, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half of 19 of their last 20 away matches. This pattern suggests that patience and endurance could be decisive factors in Fürth.



  • Ranking: 8th in 2. Bundesliga

  • Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

  • Average goals: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded (last 5)

  • Season record: W 11 · D 8 · L 12

  • Over 0.5 goals in 2nd half: 19 of last 20 away matches

  • Conceded at least 1 goal: last 20 away matches


Fürth vs Nürnberg: Tactical Overview and Key Insights


The last meeting between these two sides ended in a 2-2 draw on December 7, 2025, highlighting how evenly matched they can be. Across their last five head-to-head encounters, Fürth have managed 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per game while conceding 2.2. These numbers underline Nürnberg’s historical edge, but derbies often defy statistics.


Fürth’s main objective will be to disrupt Nürnberg’s rhythm early and avoid falling behind, as chasing the game has often exposed their defensive weaknesses. Nürnberg, on the other hand, will look to control possession and exploit Fürth’s defensive lapses, particularly in the second half when their scoring rate typically increases. Given both teams’ tendencies to concede and score regularly, this fixture has all the ingredients for an open and entertaining contest.



  • Last head-to-head: 2-2 (December 7, 2025)

  • Head-to-head record: Fürth W 1 · D 2 · L 2

  • Average goals per match: 3.2 total


BetMines Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)


According to the BetMines model, the most likely outcome for this derby is Both Teams To Score – Yes, with a probability of 58%. This aligns with both sides’ recent trends: Fürth’s defensive instability and Nürnberg’s consistent scoring in away games. With pride, points, and survival hopes on the line, goals at both ends seem highly probable in this high-stakes Franconian showdown.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Nürnberg - Predictions

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SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Nürnberg: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Nürnberg

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Nürnberg in 2. Bundesliga

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

8

Nürnberg

34

12

10

12

47:45

46

1.35

D
W
D
W
D
16

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

34

10

7

17

49:68

37

1.09

W
L
D
L
W
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Nürnberg: Frequently asked questions

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When will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Nürnberg be played?
The 2. Bundesliga match between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Nürnberg will be played on May 3, 2026 at 11:30.
Where will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Nürnberg be played?
The match between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Nürnberg will be played at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth - Germany
Who will referee SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Nürnberg?
The referee for the match will be Sören Storks.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga?
The odds are: SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win 2.55, draw 3.70, Nürnberg to win 2.50.
What are the betting odds for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Nürnberg for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the 2. Bundesliga?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.61 and Under 2.5 at 2.25.
Will both SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Nürnberg score in the 2. Bundesliga?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.53, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.37.
What is the most likely correct score for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 7.
What are the head-to-head results between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Nürnberg?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Nürnberg, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 1 times, Nürnberg won 2, and 2 ended in a draw.

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