Tools
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 - 1
FT
Nürnberg
Prediction published on May 1, 2026 6:01 PM by Dario in Germany - 2. Bundesliga | Modified on May 1, 2026 6:01 PM
The upcoming 2. Bundesliga clash between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and FC Nürnberg promises to be one of the most intense fixtures of the weekend. Scheduled for May 3 at 13:30, this Franconian derby carries enormous weight for both sides — Fürth fighting for survival near the bottom of the table, and Nürnberg aiming to consolidate their mid-table position. With local pride and crucial points at stake, fans can expect a passionate and competitive encounter.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth enter this match under pressure, sitting 17th in the 2. Bundesliga standings. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five matches (1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats). The team’s latest outing ended in a 2-1 loss against VfL Bochum 1848 on April 26, a result that further complicated their battle against relegation. Over the course of the season, Fürth have recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 16 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game — a clear sign of defensive fragility.
Despite these struggles, Fürth’s experienced players have shown flashes of leadership in recent weeks, and the squad will need to rely on that experience to turn things around. The home crowd could play a vital role in lifting the team’s morale, especially in a derby where emotions often outweigh form. Fürth’s main challenge will be to tighten their defense and convert their limited chances into goals, as they have often failed to capitalize on key moments in recent matches.
FC Nürnberg approach this derby in better shape, currently 8th in the table and showing signs of consistency. Their recent 1-0 victory over Magdeburg on April 26 extended a solid run of results — 2 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 defeat in their last five matches. Over the season, Nürnberg have maintained a balanced record of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. This equilibrium reflects a team that may not dominate but rarely collapses.
One of Nürnberg’s key strengths has been their resilience, particularly in the first half of matches. They have avoided defeat at halftime in 19 of their last 21 league games, often setting the tone early. However, their away record reveals defensive vulnerabilities — they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 20 away fixtures. On the attacking side, Nürnberg tend to come alive after the break, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half of 19 of their last 20 away matches. This pattern suggests that patience and endurance could be decisive factors in Fürth.
The last meeting between these two sides ended in a 2-2 draw on December 7, 2025, highlighting how evenly matched they can be. Across their last five head-to-head encounters, Fürth have managed 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per game while conceding 2.2. These numbers underline Nürnberg’s historical edge, but derbies often defy statistics.
Fürth’s main objective will be to disrupt Nürnberg’s rhythm early and avoid falling behind, as chasing the game has often exposed their defensive weaknesses. Nürnberg, on the other hand, will look to control possession and exploit Fürth’s defensive lapses, particularly in the second half when their scoring rate typically increases. Given both teams’ tendencies to concede and score regularly, this fixture has all the ingredients for an open and entertaining contest.
According to the BetMines model, the most likely outcome for this derby is Both Teams To Score – Yes, with a probability of 58%. This aligns with both sides’ recent trends: Fürth’s defensive instability and Nürnberg’s consistent scoring in away games. With pride, points, and survival hopes on the line, goals at both ends seem highly probable in this high-stakes Franconian showdown.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Nürnberg
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
9
1
9
1