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Prediction published on Jul 21, 2026 6:04 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Jul 21, 2026 6:04 PM
The UEFA Europa League second qualifying round brings an intriguing clash between St. Gallen and Benfica, with the first leg set to take place at Kybunpark. The Swiss side will aim to make the most of their home advantage, while the Portuguese visitors look to take a decisive step toward the league phase of the 2026–27 competition. Both teams enter this encounter with attacking potential, and the expectation is for an open game that could produce goals on both ends.
St. Gallen approach this fixture after a mixed run of results in their recent outings. Their latest match ended in a 0–3 defeat against Norwich City on July 17, marking their second consecutive loss after two earlier friendly victories. Despite these setbacks, the Swiss hosts have shown consistency over the longer term, having avoided defeat in 20 of their last 21 matches across all competitions. Their attacking record remains solid, averaging 2.0 goals scored per match over their last five games, although defensive issues persist with 2.2 goals conceded on average.
At home, St. Gallen’s form has been somewhat inconsistent, with only one win in their last four competitive fixtures (two draws and one defeat). However, they have been involved in high-scoring encounters, as Over 1.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 16 matches. This trend suggests that their games rarely lack entertainment, and their attacking approach could once again be on display against Benfica.
Given their strong attacking numbers and the advantage of playing at home, St. Gallen will likely look to press early and test Benfica’s defense. Their ability to find the net consistently makes them a dangerous opponent, even against a more experienced European side.
Benfica begin their European campaign under new management, with Marco Silva taking charge of the team. The Portuguese side’s preseason has shown glimpses of promise, including a 2–0 win over Villarreal on July 17, though a 2–1 loss to Flamengo highlighted that they are still adjusting to new tactical ideas. Over their last five matches, Benfica have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Benfica’s attacking consistency is reflected in their recent statistics: they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 13 matches, and Over 1.5 goals have been recorded in all of them. Their matches also tend to produce plenty of corners, with Over 7.5 corners taken in 20 of their last 21 away games. This indicates a proactive style of play, often pushing forward and creating numerous opportunities from wide areas.
Benfica’s attacking depth and experience make them favorites to progress, but their defensive vulnerabilities, especially away from home, could allow St. Gallen to find the net. The Portuguese side’s recent record of conceding in most of their away fixtures suggests that keeping a clean sheet may be difficult in Switzerland.
This first-leg encounter promises to be a lively affair, with both teams showing strong attacking tendencies. St. Gallen will rely on their home crowd and early momentum to unsettle their opponents, while Benfica will look to control possession and exploit spaces through quick transitions. The Swiss side’s resilience and goal-scoring form make them capable of challenging the visitors, but Benfica’s superior quality and European experience could tilt the balance slightly in their favor.
Given the statistical trends, a high-tempo match with chances at both ends seems likely. Both teams have been involved in games with multiple goals recently, and their respective defensive records suggest that neither side is likely to keep a clean sheet. The combination of attacking efficiency and occasional defensive lapses points toward a match where both teams find the net.
Historically, first-leg ties in European qualifiers often see cautious starts, but with both sides averaging around two goals per game, this fixture could defy that pattern. Expect Benfica to push for an away goal advantage, while St. Gallen will aim to capitalize on their home advantage before traveling to Portugal for the return leg.
St. Gallen vs Benfica prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
St. Gallen
Benfica
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
2
8
3
7
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
8
2
9
1