Tools
Prediction published on Sep 3, 2026 9:03 PM by Dario in Scotland - Premiership | Modified on Sep 3, 2026 9:03 PM
The Scottish Premiership’s leading two teams meet on September 5, 2026, when St. Mirren welcome defending champions Celtic to The Smisa Stadium. Kick-off is scheduled for 19:00 local time, with both clubs protecting unbeaten league records. St. Mirren are second after collecting ten points from four games, while Celtic occupy first place with four victories from four. The hosts are only two points behind the leaders, making this an important early-season contest. St. Mirren arrive after a 1-0 victory over Kilmarnock, whereas Celtic recorded a convincing 3-0 success against Aberdeen. The visitors have combined the Premiership’s strongest scoring average with an impressive defensive return, but St. Mirren’s positive start suggests that Celtic will face a demanding test in Paisley.
St. Mirren have opened their Premiership campaign with three wins and one draw, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding only 0.8 per match. That unbeaten league record has placed them directly behind Celtic, and victory in this fixture would allow them to move above the current leaders. Their latest league appearance brought a 1-0 away win over Kilmarnock on September 2, with Fraser Taylor scoring the only goal.
Across their last five matches, St. Mirren have registered three victories, one draw and one defeat. Their averages during that wider sequence stand at 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. The difference between those numbers and their Premiership averages indicates that their league performances have been more controlled defensively, with only 0.8 goals conceded per fixture in the competition.
The hosts have also shown enough attacking productivity to make this more than a purely defensive challenge. Seven goals across their opening four Premiership games have supported their rise to second place. However, their head-to-head summary against Celtic reads one win, one draw and three defeats, with averages of 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The most recent meeting finished 2-2 on April 19, 2026, demonstrating that St. Mirren have recently been capable of competing with the champions in a game featuring goals at both ends.
Celtic travel to The Smisa Stadium as the Premiership leaders and the only team in the fixture with a perfect league record. Their first four matches have produced four wins, an average of 2.8 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded. Those figures underline their effectiveness in both penalty areas: they have been prolific going forward while allowing an average of just half a goal per league game.
Their latest result was a 3-0 home victory over Aberdeen on September 2. Celtic’s broader five-match record consists of four wins and one defeat, with averages of 2.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Another recent result highlighted in their run was a 5-1 victory against Kilmarnock. Celtic have now won their last 11 Premiership matches, and they have scored at least once in each of their last 16 games across all competitions. In league play, they have found the net in 22 of their previous 23 fixtures.
The champions have also produced notable first-half trends. They have not been behind at half-time in their last 20 matches, including each of their previous 14 Premiership games. Celtic have led at the interval in their last three league fixtures and in ten of their last 16 matches overall. Meanwhile, at least one first-half goal has been recorded in 25 of their last 27 Premiership games, 36 of their previous 40 matches in all competitions and 18 of their last 20 away fixtures. Their league games have also delivered at least one second-half goal in 18 of the last 20.
This match brings together two sides that have yet to lose in the Premiership, but the available numbers give Celtic the stronger overall profile. Their average of 2.8 goals scored is one goal higher than St. Mirren’s league average, while their rate of 0.5 conceded is also better than the hosts’ 0.8. The published win probabilities reflect that difference, assigning Celtic a 48% chance of victory, compared with 27% for St. Mirren and 24% for the draw.
That does not remove the threat posed by St. Mirren. The home side have taken ten points from four matches, scored in a productive manner and just defeated Kilmarnock without conceding. The 2-2 scoreline in the latest head-to-head encounter also provides recent evidence of a competitive matchup. Based on the supplied probabilities, both teams scoring is rated at 60%, while over 2.5 total goals is assessed at 59%.
The clearest statistical pattern, however, concerns the opening 45 minutes. Celtic’s matches have repeatedly produced a first-half goal, including 25 of their last 27 in the Premiership and 18 of their previous 20 away from home. Their sequence of avoiding a half-time deficit, together with three consecutive Premiership matches in which they were ahead at the break, reinforces the possibility of an active opening period. St. Mirren’s unbeaten league start should ensure Celtic cannot take the contest lightly, but the visitors’ scoring consistency and sustained league winning run make their performance the central factor in this preview.
St. Mirren vs Celtic prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 83% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
St. Mirren
Celtic
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
4
6
5
5
4.5
6
4
7
3