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St. Mirren vs Hearts Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Premiership 03-02-2026

St. Mirren

1 - 0

FT

Hearts

The Smisa Stadium
Steven McLean
overcast clouds 2.88 °C

Prediction published on Feb 2, 2026 2:01 AM by Dario in Scotland - Premiership | Modified on Feb 2, 2026 2:01 AM

The upcoming Scottish Premiership clash between St. Mirren and Heart of Midlothian FC promises to be a fascinating encounter between two sides fighting at opposite ends of the table. The visitors are chasing their first league title in six decades, while the hosts are battling to stay clear of the relegation zone. With both teams having plenty at stake, this fixture could prove decisive for their respective ambitions.


St. Mirren’s Recent Form and Key Stats


St. Mirren enter this match sitting 10th in the Premiership standings, having drawn 0-0 against Dundee in their most recent outing. Their form has been inconsistent, with no wins in their last five matches (three draws and two defeats). During that stretch, they have averaged just 0.4 goals scored per game while conceding 1.2. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 4 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, with an average of 0.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.


Despite their struggles, the Saints have shown resilience at home. They have avoided defeat at half time in 19 of their last 21 home fixtures, demonstrating a capacity to stay compact early in games. However, their attacking output remains a concern, as under 1.5 goals have been scored in the first half of each of their last 10 Premiership matches. This lack of offensive firepower has been a major factor in their current position near the bottom of the table.



  • Ranking: 10th in Premiership

  • Last 5 matches: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats

  • Average goals scored: 0.4 | Average conceded: 1.2

  • Under 1.5 goals at half time in last 10 Premiership matches

  • Haven’t lost at half time in 19 of last 21 home games


St. Mirren’s defensive structure may help them stay competitive early on, but their inability to convert chances could once again prove costly against the league leaders.


Hearts’ Recent Form and Key Stats


Heart of Midlothian FC continue their impressive march toward the Premiership crown. The Jam Tarts are currently top of the table and come into this fixture after a commanding 3-0 away victory over Dundee United. That result extended their unbeaten run to five matches (three wins and two draws), during which they have averaged 1.8 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game. Their season record of 16 wins, 6 draws, and just 2 defeats highlights their consistency and dominance.


Hearts have been particularly strong both home and away, remaining unbeaten in 32 of their last 34 matches in all competitions. In the Premiership, they have avoided defeat in 26 of their last 28 games and have scored at least once in 26 of those. Their attacking efficiency and defensive solidity make them a formidable opponent for any side, especially one struggling for form like St. Mirren.



  • Ranking: 1st in Premiership

  • Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 defeats

  • Average goals scored: 1.8 | Average conceded: 0.6

  • Unbeaten in 32 of last 34 matches overall

  • Scored in 32 of last 34 matches

  • Won at half time in 6 of last 10 away games


With the best attack and one of the strongest defenses in the league, Hearts will look to maintain their momentum and extend their lead at the top. Their confidence is high, and their recent performances suggest they are well-equipped to handle the pressure of a title race.


Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview


Historically, Hearts have had the upper hand in this fixture. In their last five meetings with St. Mirren, the Jam Tarts have recorded two wins and three draws, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game while conceding 1.0. The most recent encounter ended 2-0 in favor of Hearts, further underlining their superiority. However, St. Mirren did manage to hold them to a 2-2 draw earlier this season, showing they can be competitive on their day.


From a tactical standpoint, the match is likely to feature Hearts dominating possession and pressing high, while St. Mirren will aim to stay compact and hit on the counter. The Saints’ defensive discipline could frustrate the visitors early on, but Hearts’ attacking depth and ability to score in crucial moments may eventually tilt the balance in their favor.


Given the contrasting forms, the key question is whether St. Mirren can withstand the relentless pressure from a Hearts side that has scored in nearly every game this season. If the visitors find an early breakthrough, it could be a long evening for the home fans.


St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian FC Prediction


All indicators point toward another strong performance from Hearts. Their attacking consistency, defensive organization, and overall momentum make them clear favorites. Meanwhile, St. Mirren’s lack of goals and recent struggles suggest they may find it difficult to keep pace with the league leaders.


While the Saints’ home resilience could keep the scoreline tight in the first half, Hearts’ superior quality should eventually prevail. Expect the visitors to control the tempo and create the better chances as the match progresses.


BetMines prediction for St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian FC:
Hearts win (2) with a 51% probability.

St. Mirren vs Hearts - Predictions

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St. Mirren vs Hearts: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

St. Mirren

Hearts

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

70%

7

30%

3

50%

5

50%

5

3.5

90%

9

10%

1

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

BetMines

Standings of St. Mirren and Hearts in Premiership

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

1

Hearts

33

21

7

5

58:28

70

2.12

W
L
W
D
W
10

St. Mirren

33

7

9

17

27:48

30

0.91

L
L
W
W
L
Championship Round
Relegation Round

2nd Phase - Championship Group - Ranking

Team

2

Hearts

38

24

8

6

67:34

80

2.11

W
W
D
W
L
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers

2nd Phase - Relegation Group - Ranking

Team

5

St. Mirren

38

8

10

20

30:55

34

0.89

L
L
L
W
D
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers

Who will win ?

St. Mirren vs Hearts: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will St. Mirren vs Hearts be played?
The Premiership match between St. Mirren and Hearts will be played on February 3, 2026 at 20:00.
Where will St. Mirren vs Hearts be played?
The match between St. Mirren and Hearts will be played at The Smisa Stadium, Greenhill Road - Scotland
Who will referee St. Mirren vs Hearts?
The referee for the match will be Steven McLean.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for St. Mirren vs Hearts in the Premiership?
The odds are: St. Mirren to win 3.70, draw 3.30, Hearts to win 2.00.
What are the betting odds for St. Mirren vs Hearts for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Premiership?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.20 and Under 2.5 at 1.66.
Will both St. Mirren and Hearts score in the Premiership?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.95, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.80.
What is the most likely correct score for St. Mirren vs Hearts in the Premiership?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between St. Mirren and Hearts?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between St. Mirren and Hearts, St. Mirren won 0 times, Hearts won 2, and 3 ended in a draw.

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