Tools
Standard Liège
3 - 1
FT
Sporting Charleroi
Prediction published on Oct 29, 2025 6:00 PM by Dario in Belgium - Pro League | Modified on Oct 29, 2025 6:00 PM
On Friday, October 31, at the Maurice Dufrasne Stadium, the early fixture of Round 13 in the Jupiler Pro League features Standard Liège vs Charleroi. This match carries significant weight for the lower mid-table positions, with the two teams sitting 11th and 12th, separated by just one point. The hosts are looking to bounce back after a heavy defeat against Gent and aim for three crucial points to close in on the top six—positions that grant access to the Championship Playoff—and move away from the relegation zone. Charleroi, on the other hand, travel to Liège full of confidence after their win against Anderlecht and hope to continue their positive streak to climb the standings and stay clear of danger. Given the importance of the match, everything points to a balanced and hard-fought encounter that will reveal a lot about the real ambitions of both Standard Liège and Charleroi this season.
Standard Liège have been inconsistent lately. Over their last five matches in all competitions, Euvrard’s men have picked up 2 wins and 3 losses, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Their most recent outing was on October 28, when they defeated Beveren 1-2 in the Belgian Cup Round of 32. In the league, however, things went poorly in the last round—a heavy 4-0 loss away at Gent, their third defeat in the last four Jupiler Pro League fixtures.
After twelve rounds, Standard Liège sit in the lower half of the table with 14 points (4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses), having scored 10 goals and conceded 17. Home form has also been underwhelming: in their last four matches at Maurice Dufrasne across all competitions, they have managed only one win, alongside two defeats and a draw.
Coming off a 0-1 away win at RFC Liège in the Belgian Cup, Charleroi have now secured back-to-back victories after their 1-0 league win over Anderlecht on October 24.
In their last five matches across all competitions, Rik De Mil’s team recorded 2 wins and 3 losses, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. After a difficult defensive spell, the Zebras seem to have found their footing again, keeping clean sheets in their last two games and ending a streak of four consecutive matches in which they had conceded.
After twelve Jupiler Pro League rounds, Charleroi sit on 15 points from 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with 15 goals scored and 17 conceded. Their away record has been inconsistent: across six away matches in all competitions, they’ve alternated between 3 wins and 3 losses—highlighting their unpredictable nature.
With just one point separating the two teams, BetMines expects a very tight and competitive game, giving a slight edge to the visitors. According to the algorithm, Standard Liège have a 33% chance of winning, Charleroi 42%, while a draw stands at 26%.
The prediction favoring Charleroi is supported by recent head-to-head data: the Zebras are unbeaten in five of their last six meetings (2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss) and have won the last two, both by 1-0 scorelines.
Given that both teams have shown defensive weaknesses lately, BetMines expects an open game with goals on both sides. Standard have scored in each of their recent home fixtures, while Charleroi have also displayed consistency in front of goal away from home.
Key players to watch include Thomas Henry, the Standard Liège striker with previous experience in Serie A and Serie B with Venezia and Palermo, and Aurélien Scheidler, Charleroi’s target man who has also featured in both the French and Italian leagues.
STANDARD LIÈGE (4-2-3-1): Epolo; Fossey, Hautekiet, Homawoo, Mohr; Ilaimaharitra, Sahabo; Kuavita, Eckert, Said; Henry. Coach: Vincent Euvrard.
CHARLEROI (4-2-3-1): Delavallée; Kerkhof, Ousou, C. Keita, Nzita; Titraoui, Camara; Pflucke, Romsaas, Guiagon; Scheidler. Coach: Rik De Mil.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Standard Liège
Sporting Charleroi
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
3
7
8
2
3.5
8
2
10
0
4.5
9
1
10
0