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Standard Liège
0 - 1
FT
Sporting Charleroi
Prediction published on Oct 9, 2026 11:32 AM by Dario in Belgium - Pro League | Modified on Oct 9, 2026 11:32 AM
Standard Liège host Sporting Charleroi in the Belgian Pro League on Sunday, October 11, with kick-off set for 11:30 local time at Stade Maurice Dufrasne. Seven points separate the sides after seven league matches: Standard are seventh, while Charleroi are fourth. The visitors arrive with four wins in their last five matches, but Standard have an opportunity at home to close the gap. Recent results, scoring records and the latest meeting between the teams all add weight to this Standard Liège vs Sporting Charleroi match preview.
Standard Liège have taken 11 points from their first seven Pro League fixtures, recording three wins, two draws and two defeats. Their league averages of 1.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match suggest that they have found ways to score, although keeping opponents out has been a challenge. Across their last five matches, Standard have won twice and lost three times, scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 1.8 per game on average.
The immediate run is more concerning for the hosts. Standard have suffered two consecutive defeats, while a 0-2 loss against Lens on October 2 adds another setback from a friendly match. They conceded at least twice in each game across that losing sequence. For Vincent Euvrard's team, limiting Charleroi's chances will be particularly important against visitors who have averaged more than two goals per match in their recent and season-long records.
Standard's home figures also offer a reminder that their matches do not always follow the same scoring pattern. Two of their last 10 home Pro League games finished without a goal for either side. That is a narrow slice of the record, however, rather than a description of their overall season: their league matches have featured averages of 1.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded by Standard. This fixture gives them a chance to improve on their recent results while facing a side currently seven points ahead.
Sporting Charleroi have won six of their opening seven Pro League matches, losing the other and drawing none. That record puts them fourth, seven points above Standard. Their season averages stand at 2.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, combining a stronger scoring return with a lower goals-against figure than their hosts have recorded.
The visitors have also won four of their last five matches, with one defeat. Over those five games, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Their 3-2 win against Cercle Brugge on September 19 provides one example of their recent scoring output, while the match information notes that they kept a clean sheet in their most recent away game. Charleroi therefore arrive with encouraging results both across the league season and in their shorter run of form.
Charleroi have beaten Standard in three of the last five head-to-head meetings, with Standard winning the other two; there were no draws. The latest encounter ended 0-2 on May 23, 2026. Across those five meetings, Standard averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded. Those results do not decide Sunday's contest, but they give the visitors another positive reference point as they prepare to play away from home.
This Pro League meeting sets Standard's home opportunity against Charleroi's stronger start to the campaign. The hosts have scored at a rate of 1.9 goals per league match, so their recent defeats do not erase their attacking record. At the same time, conceding 1.8 goals per game over their last five matches leaves a clear concern before facing opponents averaging 2.2 goals scored across the same span.
Sporting Charleroi have the advantage in both the league records and the recent five-match figures: six wins from seven league games compared with Standard's three, and four wins in their last five compared with the hosts' two. Standard, though, have home advantage and the chance to respond to consecutive defeats. If they can improve defensively, the contest could look different from the recent-form comparison; if Charleroi maintain their scoring rate, the visitors will have a strong chance to extend their advantage.
The supplied win probabilities put Charleroi at 46%, Standard at 28% and the draw at 26%. That assessment fits the broader picture without making the away result certain. Charleroi's form, seven-point lead and edge in the last five head-to-head meetings make them the more convincing choice, while Standard's home setting and season-long scoring average give the hosts reasons to challenge them.
Standard Liège vs Sporting Charleroi prediction from BetMines: Sporting Charleroi win (2) with 46% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Standard Liège
Sporting Charleroi
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
8
2
7
3