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Stoke City vs Blackburn Rovers Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Championship 11-04-2026

Stoke City

1 - 1

FT

Blackburn Rovers

Bet365 Stadium
Robert Madley
rain and snow 6.52 °C

Prediction published on Apr 9, 2026 3:02 PM by Dario in England - Championship | Modified on Apr 9, 2026 3:02 PM

The upcoming Championship clash between Stoke City and Blackburn Rovers promises to be a tightly contested encounter between two sides looking to consolidate their mid-table positions. With the season entering its final stretch, both teams are eager to finish strongly and maintain momentum. Stoke will rely on their home form to secure a positive result, while Blackburn aim to extend their unbeaten run under their new management. The match is expected to deliver intensity and tactical discipline, with both sides aware of the fine margins that could decide the outcome.


Stoke City’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Stoke City currently sit 13th in the Championship standings with 54 points from 41 matches. Their campaign has been marked by inconsistency, but they remain comfortably clear of the relegation zone. Recent performances show a mixed pattern: two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five outings, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Their last match ended in a 2-0 defeat away to Derby County, highlighting their struggles on the road.


At home, however, the Potters have been far more reliable. They have won their last three home matches at half time and have not lost at half time in 18 of their last 20 home fixtures. Matches at their ground tend to be lively, with over 7.5 corners recorded in 20 of their last 21 home games. Additionally, over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last ten matches, suggesting that fans can expect attacking football and open play. Despite occasional defensive lapses, Stoke’s home advantage remains a key factor in their favor.



  • Season record: 15 wins, 9 draws, 17 losses.

  • Average goals scored per match: 1.2; conceded: 1.1.

  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half in each of their last 11 matches.

  • Unbeaten at half time in 21 of their last 23 games overall.


Blackburn Rovers’ Recent Form and Key Stats


Blackburn Rovers have shown signs of revival in recent weeks, climbing to 19th place with 47 points from 41 matches. They are six points above the relegation zone and have gone four games unbeaten, a run that has boosted confidence within the squad. Their recent results include a 2-1 away win at Millwall, a goalless draw with Middlesbrough, a 1-0 victory at Birmingham, and another 0-0 draw against West Bromwich Albion. This sequence underlines their growing defensive solidity and improved organization.


Across their last five matches, Blackburn have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game. Their defensive improvement has been crucial in stabilizing results, even if their attacking output remains modest. Away from home, they have managed to keep things tight, with under 0.5 goals scored in three of their last eleven away fixtures. This cautious approach has helped them grind out valuable points, particularly against stronger opponents.



  • Season record: 12 wins, 11 draws, 18 losses.

  • Average goals scored per match: 0.9; conceded: 1.2.

  • Under 0.5 goals in 5 of their last 21 matches overall.

  • Last match: 0-0 draw against West Bromwich Albion.


Stoke City vs Blackburn Rovers Tactical Overview


This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting strengths. Stoke City rely heavily on their home form and attacking rhythm, often taking control early in matches. Their ability to score in the second half and maintain composure before the break has been a consistent feature. On the other hand, Blackburn Rovers have built their recent success on defensive resilience and patience, preferring to absorb pressure and strike on the counterattack.


Historically, meetings between these two teams have been balanced. The last head-to-head ended 1-1, and over their last five encounters, both have won twice and drawn once. With both teams showing improved defensive organization, another close contest seems likely. Stoke’s home advantage and attacking intent could be offset by Blackburn’s compact structure and disciplined approach. The outcome may hinge on which side can convert limited chances into goals.


Statistical Insights



  • Head-to-head record: 2 wins each, 1 draw.

  • Average goals in head-to-head: Stoke 1.0, Blackburn 1.4.

  • BTTS (Both Teams To Score) probability: 55%.

  • Over 2.5 goals probability: 52%.

  • Win probabilities — Stoke City: 43%, Draw: 26%, Blackburn Rovers: 31%.


These figures suggest a balanced matchup, with a slight edge for the home side but a significant chance of both teams finding the net. Given Stoke’s attacking consistency at home and Blackburn’s defensive improvements, the match could produce a moderate number of goals and a competitive scoreline.


Stoke City vs Blackburn Rovers Prediction


Both teams enter this fixture with solid reasons for optimism. Stoke City will aim to capitalize on their strong home record, while Blackburn Rovers seek to extend their unbeaten streak. The statistical balance between the two sides points toward a tight, tactical battle where neither team is likely to dominate completely. Considering recent performances and head-to-head trends, a shared outcome appears the most plausible scenario.


Stoke City vs Blackburn Rovers prediction from BetMines: Draw (X) with 26% probability.

Stoke City vs Blackburn Rovers - Predictions

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Stoke City vs Blackburn Rovers: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Stoke City

Blackburn Rovers

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

20%

2

80%

8

1.5

0%

0

100%

10

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

70%

7

30%

3

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

90%

9

10%

1

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

100%

10

0%

0

BetMines

Standings of Stoke City and Blackburn Rovers in Championship

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Stoke City vs Blackburn Rovers: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Stoke City vs Blackburn Rovers be played?
The Championship match between Stoke City and Blackburn Rovers will be played on April 11, 2026 at 14:00.
Where will Stoke City vs Blackburn Rovers be played?
The match between Stoke City and Blackburn Rovers will be played at Bet365 Stadium, Stoke - England
Who will referee Stoke City vs Blackburn Rovers?
The referee for the match will be Robert Madley.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Stoke City vs Blackburn Rovers in the Championship?
The odds are: Stoke City to win 2.60, draw 3.40, Blackburn Rovers to win 2.62.
What are the betting odds for Stoke City vs Blackburn Rovers for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Championship?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.00 and Under 2.5 at 1.80.
Will both Stoke City and Blackburn Rovers score in the Championship?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.72, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.00.
What is the most likely correct score for Stoke City vs Blackburn Rovers in the Championship?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Stoke City and Blackburn Rovers?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Stoke City and Blackburn Rovers, Stoke City won 2 times, Blackburn Rovers won 2, and 1 ended in a draw.

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