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Stoke City
11:30 AM
September 5, 2026
Charlton Athletic
Prediction published on Sep 3, 2026 5:08 PM by Dario in England - Championship | Modified on Sep 3, 2026 5:08 PM
Stoke City host Charlton Athletic in the Championship on September 5, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 11:30 local time at the Bet365 Stadium. The fifth round of league fixtures brings together teams that have made contrasting starts: Stoke sit 22nd after one victory and three defeats, while third-placed Charlton remain unbeaten with three wins and one draw. The Potters enter the contest encouraged by their first Championship success of the season, but the visitors have consistently found the net and will aim to extend their strong opening run. Recent meetings add another layer of intrigue, with Charlton winning three of the last five encounters overall but Stoke claiming victory in each of the last four that they hosted.
Stoke City secured an important result on September 1 by defeating Norwich City 1-0. That victory ended their wait for a first league win of the campaign and gives them an opportunity to build momentum in a second consecutive home match. Their Championship record now stands at one win and three losses, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 2.3 conceded per fixture.
The wider recent sequence underlines why the Norwich result was so valuable. Across their last five matches, Stoke have registered one win, one draw and three defeats. They have averaged 1.0 goal per game during that spell while allowing 2.0, illustrating the gap between their attacking output and defensive record. Turning the latest clean sheet into a more sustained improvement will be central to their prospects against an unbeaten opponent.
Home scoring form nevertheless provides Stoke with a clear source of optimism. The Potters have scored at least once in each of their last 13 home matches. Their games have also regularly produced more than a single goal, with 20 of the last 21 Stoke fixtures going over 1.5 total goals. Early action has been another recurring feature at this venue: each of their last 12 home Championship matches has contained at least one first-half goal. However, Stoke have been behind at the interval in six of their last 10 league games, making their first-half performance particularly significant.
Charlton Athletic arrive with a Championship record of three victories and one draw. They dropped league points for the first time on September 2, coming from behind to earn a 1-1 draw away to West Bromwich Albion despite having 29% possession. Their season averages of 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded compare favorably with Stoke's figures and help explain their position near the top of the early standings.
Across all competitions, Charlton's last five results comprise three wins, one draw and one defeat, accompanied by averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Their only defeat this season came in the League Cup, when Tottenham beat them 5-1. More importantly for this Championship preview, the Addicks have scored in all six of their matches this term. That sequence forms part of a longer run in which they have found the net in 13 consecutive games.
The visitors have been similarly reliable in front of goal away from home, scoring at least once in each of their last 12 away matches. Second-half production is especially prominent in their recent statistics. Charlton's last 13 games have all featured a goal after the break, as have their last 11 Championship fixtures and last 11 away matches. Both teams scored during the second half in each of Charlton's last six away league games, while the same pattern occurred in nine of their previous 15 away fixtures overall.
Those numbers do not necessarily point to Charlton taking immediate control. They have failed to lead at half-time in 20 of their last 21 Championship matches. Their resilience later in games may therefore be more relevant than an explosive start, as demonstrated by the comeback at West Bromwich Albion. Charlton have also suffered only one defeat across their last 10 league trips, giving them a solid recent away foundation for this visit.
The contest balances Stoke's favorable home history in this fixture against Charlton's stronger start to the Championship campaign. The overall record from the last five head-to-head meetings gives Charlton three wins and Stoke two, with no draws. Across that sequence, Stoke averaged 1.4 goals and conceded 1.2 per match. The most recent meeting finished 1-0 on February 11, 2026, while the Potters have won the last four home encounters between the clubs.
Current form presents a different picture from that venue-specific record. Stoke have lost three of their first four league games and have conceded an average of 2.3 goals, whereas Charlton are unbeaten and allowing only 0.8 per Championship fixture. At the same time, Stoke's 13-match home scoring streak suggests the hosts possess the means to trouble the visitors. Charlton's own runs of scoring in 13 straight games and 12 consecutive away matches strengthen the expectation that both attacks can influence proceedings.
The timing trends also deserve attention. Stoke's sequence of 12 home league fixtures with a first-half goal points toward the possibility of an early breakthrough, although Charlton's poor record for leading at the interval means the opening period may remain competitive. After half-time, the visitors' repeated goal patterns become particularly relevant. Every one of their last 11 Championship matches has produced a second-half goal, and both teams have scored after the break in their last six away league outings.
Overall, the statistical picture supports a match containing multiple scoring opportunities rather than one decided purely by the contrasting league positions. Stoke's home scoring consistency, Charlton's long run of finding the net and the fact that 20 of Stoke's last 21 games have exceeded one total goal all point in the same direction. Although the supplied probabilities narrowly favor Stoke at 43%, compared with 29% for Charlton and 27% for the draw, the goals market is more firmly supported by the recurring trends surrounding both sides.
Stoke City vs Charlton Athletic prediction from BetMines: Over 1.5 goals with 72% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Stoke City
Charlton Athletic
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1