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Prediction published on Feb 20, 2026 9:01 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Feb 20, 2026 9:01 PM
The 23rd round of Ligue 1 concludes with an exciting clash between RC Strasbourg and Olympique Lyonnais, scheduled for Sunday evening at 20:45. This encounter at the Stade de la Meinau promises to be one of the highlights of the weekend, as both teams are chasing important objectives in the second half of the season. Strasbourg remain firmly in the race for European qualification, while Lyon are enjoying a remarkable winning streak that has propelled them into the top three of the table. With both sides in good form, fans can expect a high-intensity match filled with attacking football and plenty of drama.
RC Strasbourg approach this fixture with the ambition to return to winning ways after a series of mixed results. The Alsatian side currently sit 7th in the Ligue 1 standings, just three points away from the top five. Their recent 2-2 draw away to Olympique Marseille showed resilience, as they came back from two goals down to secure a valuable point. Over their last five matches, Strasbourg have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
At home, Strasbourg have been particularly solid in the first halves of matches. They have not lost at half time in their last 13 home games in Ligue 1, and in 18 of their last 20 home fixtures overall. The team often start strongly, having led at half time in six of their last ten matches. Their attacking approach has produced consistent entertainment, with Over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last ten games and at least one goal before the break in all of them.
Statistically, Strasbourg’s season has been balanced: 9 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. Despite recent setbacks against PSG and Le Havre, their ability to compete against top sides remains evident. The home crowd at the Meinau will expect a strong performance to keep their European hopes alive.
Olympique Lyonnais arrive in Alsace in sensational form. The team have won their last 13 consecutive matches across all competitions, a run that has lifted them to 3rd place in Ligue 1. Their most recent victory, a 2-0 win over Nice, further underlined their dominance. Over their last five league games, Lyon have maintained a perfect record with five wins, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game while conceding just 0.4.
Throughout the season, Lyon’s consistency has been impressive: 14 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match. They have not drawn any of their last 16 fixtures, showing a clear tendency to go for victory in every outing. The team have also been dominant in the early stages of matches, winning at half time in their last five Ligue 1 games and in seven of their last ten overall. Away from home, they have led at the break in four consecutive matches, a sign of their strong mentality and tactical discipline.
Lyon’s attack has been relentless, having scored in each of their last 13 matches. Their defensive solidity, combined with clinical finishing, makes them one of the most complete sides in the league. The last head-to-head between these teams ended 2-1 in Lyon’s favor, and overall, the Gones have dominated recent meetings with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in the last five encounters.
This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting dynamics. Strasbourg are looking to rediscover their winning touch after three league games without victory, while Lyon are riding an extraordinary wave of success. The hosts will rely on their strong home record and attacking energy to challenge one of the most in-form sides in France. Their ability to score regularly, combined with Lyon’s offensive power, suggests that this could be a match with several goalscoring opportunities.
Historically, this matchup has produced open and competitive games, with an average of 1.8 goals scored by Strasbourg and 2.0 conceded in recent meetings. Given Lyon’s current momentum and Strasbourg’s attacking intent, the game is likely to feature multiple goals and moments of high intensity. The visitors’ confidence and efficiency in both boxes could make the difference once again.
According to the latest probabilities, the win chances are distributed as follows: Strasbourg 35%, Draw 24%, and Lyon 41%. The data also points to a 61% probability of Over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of Both Teams To Score (Yes). These figures align with the attacking trends of both sides and the recent goal-rich performances in their respective matches.
Strasbourg vs Olympique Lyonnais prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 61% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Strasbourg
Olympique Lyonnais
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
8
2