Sturm Graz host Celje at Merkur Arena in Graz on November 5, 2026, with kick-off set for 20:00 local time. The Europa League meeting brings together a home side ranked 19th in the competition and visitors ranked 29th. Sturm Graz have taken a win, a draw and a defeat from their three league-phase matches, while Celje are still seeking their first victory after one draw and two losses. The hosts have the stronger record in this competition so far, but Celje arrive unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions, giving this fixture an intriguing contrast between European results and recent form.

Sturm Graz's Recent Form and Key Stats

Sturm Graz recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.4 goals and conceding 1.4 per game over that span. Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw with Wolfsberger AC on November 1. That broader scoring record differs sharply from their Europa League figures: through three matches in the competition, they have averaged 0.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.

Their 1-0 victory over Marseille in their most recent Europa League outing showed how valuable a single goal can be for Sturm Graz in this competition. They also have an encouraging home run to draw on, having gone unbeaten in seven home matches and won four of them. Keeping that record intact would strengthen their position against a Celje side that has yet to win in the league phase.

Goals have generally been limited in Sturm Graz's recent Europa League fixtures. Each of their last 14 matches in the competition has finished with under 3.5 total goals. Three of their last 11 Europa League home games ended without a goal, as did two of their last 10 matches in the competition overall. Those are match totals rather than figures for Sturm Graz's own scoring, and they underline why the hosts' home record may matter more here than their recent goals-per-game average across all matches.

Celje's Recent Form and Key Stats

Celje come into this trip after a 4-0 win over Nafta on November 1. Across their last five matches, they have registered two wins and three draws, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. That unbeaten stretch offers encouragement, particularly after they earned a 2-2 Europa League draw against Salzburg with a late equaliser.

Their Europa League record remains a concern, however. Celje have drawn one and lost two of their first three matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. Their defeats include a 3-0 home loss to Omonia. The gap between those European numbers and their last-five-match form is one of the central questions ahead of this visit: they have been difficult to beat recently, but have not yet turned that resilience into a league-phase win.

Celje have won three of their last 10 away matches and lost three during that period. Their first-half results provide a further point to watch. They have trailed at half-time in each of their last four Europa League matches, including their last four away fixtures in the competition. Across all away matches, though, they have avoided a half-time deficit in 19 of their last 21. As with Sturm Graz, some of their recent fixtures have been goalless: two of Celje's last 10 away matches and two of their last 10 matches overall ended 0-0.

Sturm Graz vs Celje Match Analysis

The clearest advantage for Sturm Graz is their combination of home form and a better start in the Europa League. Their seven-match unbeaten home run gives them a foundation, while the win over Marseille shows they can secure a result even when goals are scarce. Celje have momentum from their five-match unbeaten sequence, but their three European fixtures have brought no win and an average of 2.3 goals conceded.

The recent scoring figures point in different directions. Sturm Graz have averaged 2.4 goals across their last five matches, yet only 0.3 in the Europa League; Celje's corresponding averages are 1.8 and 0.7. Sturm Graz's run of 14 Europa League matches with fewer than four total goals is another reason to distinguish their competition record from their wider form. The visitors' late equaliser against Salzburg, meanwhile, is a reminder that their European results have not been limited to defeats.

The supplied head-to-head record lists a 2-0 Sturm Graz win over Celje on June 15, 2016. That result offers a reference point, but the current teams' form carries more immediate weight. Celje's unbeaten five-match run suggests they can make this competitive; Sturm Graz's home results and Celje's difficulty in the Europa League give the hosts the stronger case for taking the points.

Sturm Graz vs Celje prediction from BetMines: Sturm Graz win (1) with 43% probability.