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Prediction published on Nov 27, 2025 4:03 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Nov 27, 2025 4:03 PM
The Serie B table remains extremely tight, and both Südtirol and Avellino are eager to collect valuable points to climb the standings. The two sides will meet on Saturday, October 29 at 15:00 at the Marco Druso Stadium, in what promises to be a balanced contest according to the bookmakers. Despite their recent struggles, Südtirol enter the match with a slight edge thanks to home advantage, while Avellino will look to bounce back from a worrying defensive slump.
Südtirol have been enduring a difficult period, going eight matches without a win. Their last three outings all ended in draws — against Padova, Carrarese, and Modena — including a goalless stalemate with Modena on November 23. The team currently sits 16th in Serie B, hovering near the playout zone. Under coach Fabrizio Castori, the Alto Adige side have shown defensive discipline but continue to struggle in front of goal, averaging just 0.4 goals scored per game over their last five fixtures while conceding 1.2 on average.
Across the season, Südtirol’s record stands at 2 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. Their inability to convert chances has cost them several points, and the home crowd will expect a more clinical performance this weekend. The Marco Druso has not been the fortress it once was, but a solid defensive display could be the foundation for a much-needed victory.
Avellino currently occupy 12th place in the Serie B table with 16 points, but their recent form has been far from reassuring. The team suffered back-to-back 0-3 defeats against Cesena and Empoli, exposing serious defensive weaknesses. Over their last five matches, the Irpini have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, scoring an average of 1 goal per game while conceding 2.8. This sharp decline has made them the second-worst defense in the league so far.
Coach Raffaele Biancolino will be demanding an immediate reaction from his players. Avellino’s attacking potential remains intact, but their defensive organization has collapsed in recent weeks. Away from home, they have struggled to maintain consistency, often conceding early and failing to recover. To get a result in Bolzano, they will need to rediscover the compactness that characterized their early-season performances.
The two clubs have met only twice before, back in the 2021 Lega Pro campaign, with one win apiece. Both teams are currently going through a rough patch, and neither will want to risk too much in a game that could easily be decided by small details. Given their recent results, a cautious and low-scoring encounter seems likely. Südtirol’s lack of attacking sharpness and Avellino’s defensive fragility could cancel each other out, leading to a match where control and patience take precedence over open play.
Historically, fixtures involving these sides have not produced many goals, and the current form of both teams supports that trend. Südtirol’s inability to find the net regularly, combined with Avellino’s need to tighten up at the back, suggests that both managers will prioritize defensive stability. Expect a tactical battle with few clear chances and long spells of midfield play.
The most likely outcome is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% probability. Both teams have struggled offensively in recent weeks, and their previous meetings have also been low-scoring affairs. A tight, cautious match is anticipated at the Marco Druso, where a single goal could make the difference.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Südtirol
Avellino
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
6
4
7
3
3.5
7
3
9
1
4.5
8
2
9
1