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Prediction published on Dec 11, 2025 4:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Dec 11, 2025 4:01 PM
The upcoming Serie B clash between Südtirol and Bari 1908 promises to be a tense battle at the bottom of the table. Both sides are struggling to find consistency, and with only one point separating them, the match could have a significant impact on their survival hopes. The fixture, scheduled for Saturday afternoon, brings together two teams that have drawn heavily this season and are desperate to rediscover the winning feeling. With both defences showing resilience but attacks failing to deliver, fans can expect a tight and tactical contest in Bolzano.
Südtirol come into this match after a valuable 1-1 draw away to Monza on December 8, a result that showed their ability to compete even against stronger opposition. However, the team’s main issue remains their inability to turn draws into wins. In their last five matches, Südtirol have recorded 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeat, scoring an average of just 0.6 goals per game while conceding 0.8. Their last victory dates back several months, and the lack of cutting edge in attack continues to limit their progress.
Across the season, Südtirol’s record stands at 2 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.3 conceded per match. Despite their struggles, their defensive organisation has been a relative strength, keeping them competitive in most games. Notably, Under 3.5 goals have been scored in each of their last ten Serie B fixtures, highlighting their low-scoring and cautious approach. Currently sitting 16th in the table, Südtirol need to find a way to convert their solid defensive displays into victories if they are to climb away from the relegation zone.
Bari 1908 are also enduring a difficult period, having drawn 1-1 against Pescara in their most recent outing on December 8. The team has failed to win any of their last five matches, collecting 3 draws and 2 defeats in that span. Their attacking output has been modest, averaging 0.8 goals scored per game while conceding 2.0. Over the course of the season, Bari’s record reads 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with an average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match.
One of Bari’s biggest concerns is their poor away form. The team has not won in their last 15 away matches and has failed to secure victory in 20 of their last 21 away games in Serie B. This alarming trend has placed them in 15th position, just one point above Südtirol. Their lack of attacking threat on the road is evident, with Under 0.5 goals scored in two of their last ten away fixtures. To get a positive result in Bolzano, Bari will need to show more creativity and efficiency in front of goal while tightening up defensively to avoid another setback.
Recent meetings between Südtirol and Bari 1908 have been evenly balanced. In their last five encounters, both sides have recorded 2 wins each and 1 draw, with an average of 0.6 goals scored and conceded per team. Their most recent clash ended in a 0-0 draw on May 13, 2025, underlining the defensive nature of this fixture. Given both teams’ current form and scoring difficulties, another low-scoring contest seems likely.
Statistically, Südtirol’s tendency to draw is remarkable, with more than half of their matches ending level. Bari, meanwhile, have also shared points frequently this season. Both sides rely heavily on defensive discipline, and neither has shown the attacking sharpness needed to dominate games. As a result, this encounter could once again be decided by fine margins, with patience and concentration playing key roles throughout the 90 minutes.
According to the latest data, the win probabilities stand at Südtirol 41%, Draw 31%, and Bari 1908 29%. The Under 2.5 goals market also appears strong, with a 63% likelihood, while Both Teams To Score – No has a 57% chance. Considering both teams’ recent results and their low goal averages, a cautious and balanced match is expected.
BetMines prediction for Südtirol vs Bari 1908: Draw (X) with a probability of 31%. Both sides are struggling to find the net consistently, and their similar form suggests another stalemate could be on the cards in this crucial Serie B encounter.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Südtirol
Bari 1908
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
2
8
1.5
5
5
4
6
2.5
8
2
7
3
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
9
1
9
1