The upcoming Serie B clash between Südtirol and Mantova promises to be a balanced and intriguing contest. Both sides are level on 40 points and share mid-table positions alongside other teams, meaning that while relegation fears are minimal, every point still counts to secure mathematical safety. The match will be played at the Stadio Druso, where Südtirol will look to rediscover their form after a difficult run, while Mantova arrive with renewed confidence following a series of positive results in recent weeks.

Südtirol’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Südtirol have struggled to maintain consistency in recent rounds. Their last five matches have produced no wins, two draws, and three defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game. The heavy 6-1 loss against Spezia on April 18 highlighted defensive fragility and a possible drop in intensity as the season nears its end. Over the course of the campaign, Südtirol’s record stands at 8 wins, 16 draws, and 11 losses, reflecting a team that often settles for draws but rarely collapses completely.

At home, Südtirol have found victories hard to come by, winning only five of their 17 matches so far, with the last home success dating back to January. Their matches tend to be tight, as shown by the fact that Under 0.5 goals have been recorded in three of their last ten home fixtures. Despite their recent struggles, Südtirol’s defensive organization and ability to grind out results have kept them clear of the relegation zone.

• Ranking in Serie B: 11th place


• Season average goals: 1.1 scored, 1.2 conceded


• Last 5 matches: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats


• Last head-to-head vs Mantova: 1-1 (October 18, 2025)

Mantova’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Mantova approach this fixture in better shape, having won three of their last five matches. Their recent form shows a more aggressive and risk-taking approach that has paid off, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per game in that stretch. Although they lost 0-2 to Avellino on April 18, their overall momentum remains positive, particularly compared to Südtirol’s recent downturn.

Across the season, Mantova’s record stands at 11 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats. They have six more losses than Südtirol but also three more victories, reflecting a team that plays with greater attacking intent and accepts the risks that come with it. Their improved performances in the second half of the season have lifted them away from the lower positions, and they now look capable of finishing comfortably in mid-table. Historically, Mantova have held their own in this matchup, with a head-to-head record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss against Südtirol, averaging one goal scored and one conceded per game.

• Ranking in Serie B: 12th place


• Season average goals: 1.1 scored, 1.4 conceded


• Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 defeats


• BTTS (Both Teams To Score): Yes 49%, No 51%

Match Analysis and Tactical Overview

This encounter is likely to be a tactical battle between two sides with contrasting approaches. Südtirol tend to rely on compact defending and patience, often preferring to control the tempo and avoid open exchanges. However, their recent defensive lapses suggest that they may struggle against a Mantova side that has been more proactive and efficient in front of goal.

Mantova, on the other hand, have shown a willingness to take risks and press higher up the pitch. Their ability to absorb pressure and strike on the counter has been a key factor in their recent success. Given Südtirol’s current form and Mantova’s upward trajectory, the visitors could find opportunities to exploit defensive gaps, especially if the hosts fail to regain their early-season solidity.

Historically, meetings between these two teams have been balanced, with the last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw. Considering their current dynamics, another close contest seems likely, with both teams having reasons to believe they can take something from the match. The statistical profile also suggests a relatively low-scoring affair, as Under 2.5 goals has occurred in 57% of their recent games combined.

BetMines Prediction

Based on the available data and probabilities, the BetMines prediction for this Serie B fixture leans towards a balanced outcome. The win probabilities stand at 42% for Südtirol, 28% for a draw, and 30% for Mantova. Given the form trends and head-to-head balance, the most likely scenario appears to be a tight match with limited scoring opportunities.

Südtirol vs Mantova prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 57% probability.