The upcoming Serie B clash between Südtirol and Modena promises to be a balanced and tactical encounter. Scheduled in Bolzano, this fixture brings together two sides with contrasting recent form but similar ambitions for the final stretch of the season. While the home team is looking to secure mathematical safety, the visitors aim to consolidate their playoff position. The previous meeting ended in a goalless draw, and the data suggests another low-scoring affair could be on the cards.

Südtirol’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Südtirol currently sit in 10th place in Serie B, a position that reflects a season of mixed performances. Their recent form has been underwhelming, with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats in their last five matches. The most recent outing was a 1-1 draw against Cesena on April 6, 2026. Despite showing defensive resilience at times, the team has struggled to convert chances, averaging only 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game in that stretch.

Across the season, Südtirol’s record stands at 8 wins, 15 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match. Their home games have often been tight affairs, with Under 0.5 goals recorded in 3 of their last 10 home fixtures. This trend underlines their cautious approach and the difficulty opponents face in breaking them down at the Druso Stadium.

• Ranking: 10th in Serie B


• Last 5 matches: 0W – 2D – 3L


• Average goals scored: 1.1 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.1 per match


• Under 0.5 goals in 3 of last 10 home games


• Head-to-head vs Modena: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat

Although their attack has lacked consistency, Südtirol’s defensive organization has kept them competitive. With safety nearly secured, the team will aim to end their winless run and give their fans a reason to celebrate.

Modena’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Modena enter this match in 6th place, well positioned for a playoff berth. Their campaign has been solid, marked by 14 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game. Despite a recent 3-1 defeat to Bari 1908 on April 6, the Canarini remain one of the most consistent sides in the league.

In their last five matches, Modena have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, showing a balanced mix of results. Their defensive reliability has been a key strength, as evidenced by the fact that Under 3.5 goals have been scored in 19 of their last 20 Serie B matches. This pattern suggests that Modena often prefer control and structure over high-risk attacking play.

• Ranking: 6th in Serie B


• Last 5 matches: 2W – 1D – 2L


• Average goals scored: 1.3 per match


• Average goals conceded: 0.9 per match


• Under 3.5 goals in 19 of last 20 matches


• Under 0.5 goals in 3 of last 12 matches

With a playoff spot nearly guaranteed, Modena’s main objective will be to maintain momentum and avoid unnecessary risks. Their disciplined approach and solid backline make them a difficult opponent, especially against teams struggling for form like Südtirol.

Südtirol vs Modena Tactical Overview and Prediction

The head-to-head history between these two sides has been remarkably balanced, with one win each and three draws in their last five meetings. The most recent encounter ended 0-0, reflecting the defensive nature of this matchup. Both teams tend to produce low-scoring games, and the statistical trends strongly support another tight contest.

Given Südtirol’s recent scoring difficulties and Modena’s defensive consistency, this fixture is unlikely to turn into a goal fest. The home side will rely on compact defending and quick transitions, while the visitors are expected to control possession and look for openings without overcommitting. The combination of Südtirol’s cautious style and Modena’s pragmatic approach points toward a game decided by fine margins.

From a betting perspective, the data suggests limited goal potential. Under 2.5 goals has been a recurring outcome in matches involving both teams, and the probability figures reinforce this trend. With 60% likelihood for the Under 2.5 market, this appears to be the most reliable prediction for this Serie B encounter.

Südtirol vs Modena prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 60% probability.