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Prediction published on Mar 13, 2026 5:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Mar 13, 2026 5:01 PM
The upcoming Serie B clash between Südtirol and Pescara promises to be a fascinating encounter, scheduled for Sunday afternoon. The hosts are currently sitting in ninth place, still fighting for a playoff spot, while the visitors remain bottom of the table but have shown clear signs of improvement in recent weeks. With both sides coming off contrasting results, this match could have significant implications for their respective seasons.
Südtirol approach this fixture after a disappointing 0-1 defeat against Virtus Entella, a result that interrupted their positive momentum. Despite that setback, their overall record in Serie B remains balanced, with 8 wins, 13 draws, and 8 losses. The team averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, reflecting a cautious but effective approach. In their last five games, Südtirol have collected 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, scoring an average of 1.4 goals while conceding 1.2.
At home, Südtirol’s matches tend to be tight and low-scoring. In fact, Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 11 home fixtures and in 23 of their last 24 Serie B games overall. Moreover, at least one team failed to score before halftime in 28 of their last 30 league matches, confirming their tendency to start cautiously. These numbers highlight a side that prioritizes defensive organization and prefers to build pressure gradually rather than engage in open, high-scoring duels.
Currently ninth in the standings, Südtirol remain within reach of the playoff zone, but they cannot afford further slip-ups if they want to secure a top-eight finish. Their home form will be crucial, especially against opponents fighting for survival like Pescara.
Pescara may be bottom of the table, but their recent performances suggest a team on the rise. Their emphatic 4-0 victory over Bari was a statement of intent, showing renewed confidence and attacking flair. Over their last five matches, they have achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and just 1 defeat, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. This improvement has reignited hopes of avoiding relegation, even if the road ahead remains challenging.
Throughout the season, Pescara’s record stands at 5 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match. Their games are typically open and entertaining, with Over 1.5 goals occurring in 28 of their last 30 fixtures. They also tend to produce action after the break — Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been recorded in 28 of their last 30 matches, including all of their last 14 away games in Serie B.
Despite their position at the bottom, Pescara’s attacking numbers are encouraging. Their ability to score consistently, especially in the second half, could make them a dangerous opponent for Südtirol, who often rely on defensive solidity. The visitors’ recent form — including a draw against a top-three side and a narrow 3-2 loss to the league leaders — shows they are capable of competing with stronger teams.
The previous meeting between these two sides ended in a 1-1 draw, with Südtirol taking the lead before Pescara equalized in stoppage time. Historically, Pescara have had the upper hand, with one win and one draw in their last two encounters, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game while conceding 0.5. This balance suggests another close contest could be on the cards.
From a tactical standpoint, Südtirol will likely aim to control possession and limit space, relying on their structured defense to frustrate Pescara’s attack. The visitors, on the other hand, will look to exploit transitions and maintain their recent attacking rhythm. Given Südtirol’s tendency toward low-scoring matches and Pescara’s recent offensive surge, the outcome could hinge on which side imposes its rhythm first.
Statistically, the win probabilities stand at 45% for Südtirol, 28% for a draw, and 27% for Pescara. The balance of probabilities and recent form suggest a finely poised encounter where both teams have realistic chances of taking points.
Considering the data and recent performances, the BetMines prediction for this match leans toward a home win (1) with a probability of 45%. Südtirol’s defensive consistency and home advantage could prove decisive, although Pescara’s resurgence ensures this will be no straightforward task.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Südtirol
Pescara
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
8
2
9
1