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Prediction published on Feb 26, 2026 3:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Feb 26, 2026 3:01 PM
The upcoming Serie B clash between Südtirol and Venezia promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 27th round. Scheduled for Saturday afternoon, this encounter at the Druso Stadium will see two sides with very different ambitions face off. Südtirol are looking to bounce back after a heavy 3-0 defeat to Palermo, while Venezia arrive at the top of the table, determined to extend their impressive run of form. With both teams showing contrasting trajectories, this match could have a significant impact on the standings and the promotion race.
Südtirol have had a respectable campaign so far, sitting in 9th place with 33 points after 26 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 12 draws, and 7 defeats reflects a solid but cautious approach, often prioritizing defensive stability over attacking flair. The team averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, underlining their balanced but low-scoring nature. In their last five outings, Südtirol have collected two wins, two draws, and one loss, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game while conceding 1.0.
Recent trends suggest that Südtirol’s matches tend to be tight affairs. Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 21 Serie B fixtures, and Under 0.5 goals have occurred in four of their last 14 league games. Even at home, the pattern remains similar, with three of their last 13 matches at the Druso Stadium ending goalless. This defensive consistency has kept them comfortably above the relegation zone, but their inability to beat top sides — including a 3-0 loss to Venezia earlier this season — highlights the gap between them and the league’s elite.
Venezia have been the standout team of the Serie B season so far, leading the table with 17 wins, 5 draws, and only 4 defeats. Their attacking power has been remarkable, averaging 2.0 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.9. The team’s recent form is particularly impressive: four wins in their last five games, including a thrilling 3-2 victory over Pescara. The only setback came against Modena, but they quickly regained momentum with back-to-back wins against Cesena and Pescara.
One of Venezia’s most notable improvements has been their away form. After a long period without victories on the road, they have now collected six wins and one draw in their last seven away matches. Their offensive consistency is also reflected in the statistics: Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 20 of their last 21 matches, and they have found the net in 19 of their last 20 Serie B fixtures. Moreover, Venezia have led at half-time in seven of their last ten games, showing their ability to start strong and control matches early on.
The head-to-head record between these two sides slightly favors Venezia, who have won three of the last five meetings, including a dominant 3-0 victory in the reverse fixture on October 29, 2025. Südtirol have managed two wins in that span but have generally struggled against the league leaders. The average scoreline in these encounters stands at 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded for Südtirol, further emphasizing Venezia’s superiority.
From a tactical perspective, this match is likely to pit Südtirol’s disciplined defensive structure against Venezia’s fluid attacking play. The hosts will aim to keep the game tight and capitalize on counterattacks, while the visitors will look to impose their rhythm early, as they have done successfully in recent weeks. Given Venezia’s attacking momentum and Südtirol’s tendency to keep matches low-scoring, the balance may tilt toward a controlled but efficient away performance.
Considering the statistical trends and current form, Venezia appear to have a clear edge going into this fixture. Their offensive consistency, combined with Südtirol’s struggles against top-tier opponents, makes an away win the most probable outcome. The data also suggests a moderate goal count, with a slight inclination toward matches featuring more than two goals.
Südtirol vs Venezia prediction from BetMines: Away Win (2) with 46% probability.
Alternative outcomes include a Draw (27%) or a Home Win (27%), but the visitors’ superior form and attacking depth make them the logical favorites to claim all three points.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Südtirol
Venezia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
8
2
10
0