Tools
Prediction published on Jan 31, 2026 9:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Jan 31, 2026 9:02 PM
The final fixture of Matchday 24 in the Premier League brings an intriguing clash at the Stadium of Light, where Sunderland host Burnley on Monday night. Both sides were promoted last season, but their campaigns have taken very different paths so far. The Black Cats sit comfortably in mid-table, while the Clarets are fighting to escape the relegation zone. With both teams eager for points, this encounter promises intensity and drama under the lights.
Sunderland have been one of the pleasant surprises of the season. After 23 matches, they occupy 11th place in the Premier League with 33 points, well clear of the relegation battle. Despite a 3-1 defeat to West Ham United on January 24, their overall record remains solid, with 8 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses. The team averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game, showing a balanced approach between attack and defense.
Their home form has been particularly impressive. The Black Cats are the only team in the league still unbeaten at home, boasting six wins and five draws from 11 matches at the Stadium of Light. This consistency has been the foundation of their success, and it gives them a strong psychological edge heading into this fixture. Defensively, they have conceded just 26 goals all season, a figure bettered only by a handful of top-five sides.
Recent performances have been mixed, with one win, two draws, and two defeats in their last five outings. However, the team’s resilience and organization remain evident. Key midfielder Granit Xhaka continues to be sidelined, but others have stepped up. Brian Brobbey has found form with three goals in his last four league appearances, while Nordi Mukiele has contributed assists in consecutive matches. These individual sparks could prove decisive once again.
Burnley enter this match in 19th place with 15 points from 23 games. Despite their struggles, recent performances have shown signs of improvement. The Clarets drew 2-2 with Tottenham Hotspur on January 24, extending their unbeaten run to four matches in all competitions. Their last five league games have produced one win, three draws, and one defeat, with an encouraging average of 2.0 goals scored per match.
Offensively, Burnley have rediscovered some rhythm, but defensive issues persist. They have conceded 44 goals this season—one of the highest tallies in the division—and have managed just one clean sheet in their last 15 league fixtures. Away from home, their record remains poor: one win, two draws, and eight defeats from 11 matches, collecting only five points on the road. Their only away victory came against Wolves back in October.
Nevertheless, the Clarets have shown fighting spirit. They have scored in nine of their last ten away games and have been competitive against top sides, holding Manchester United, Liverpool, and Spurs to draws. Lyle Foster returned from international duty with a goal against Tottenham and could be key again, while Jaidon Anthony remains their top scorer despite a recent goal drought. Several players, including Mike Tresor and Zeki Amdouni, remain unavailable through injury, limiting rotation options for the visitors.
Historically, meetings between these two sides have been evenly balanced. In their last five encounters, Sunderland have one win, two draws, and two defeats, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. The reverse fixture earlier this season ended 2-0 in favor of Sunderland, a result they will look to replicate in front of their home fans.
From a tactical perspective, Sunderland’s strength lies in their compact defensive structure and quick transitions, particularly at home. Burnley, on the other hand, have adopted a more open approach in recent weeks, which has improved their attacking output but left them vulnerable at the back. Given both teams’ recent scoring trends, this match could produce goals at both ends despite Sunderland’s defensive solidity.
With Sunderland unbeaten at home and Burnley showing renewed attacking intent, the balance of play may hinge on who controls the midfield. The hosts will aim to dominate possession and exploit Burnley’s defensive lapses, while the visitors will rely on counterattacks and set pieces to create danger.
All signs point to a competitive and entertaining contest. Sunderland’s home record makes them favorites, but Burnley’s recent resilience cannot be ignored. The statistical trends suggest a match where both teams find the net, aligning with the overall scoring patterns of their recent fixtures.
Sunderland vs Burnley prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 47% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sunderland
Burnley
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
5
5
3
7
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
8
2
8
2