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Sunderland
2:00 PM
November 8, 2026
Chelsea
Prediction published on Nov 6, 2026 2:34 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Nov 6, 2026 2:34 PM
Sunderland host Chelsea at the Stadium of Light on November 8 in a Premier League match between sides experiencing contrasting starts to the season. After nine league games, Sunderland sit 20th with five points, while fourth-placed Chelsea have 16. The hosts are trying to improve their domestic results while also competing in the Europa League; the visitors arrive having won three of their last four league matches. Sunderland did the double over Chelsea last season, including a 2-1 win in this fixture, but their recent form makes this a different test.
Sunderland have one win, two draws and six defeats from their first nine Premier League fixtures. They have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per league match, figures that underline the challenge of facing one of the division's more productive attacks. Their most recent league outing ended in a 3-1 defeat away to Coventry, with defensive errors contributing to the first two goals they conceded.
The Black Cats have also had a European fixture to manage before Chelsea's visit. They lost 2-0 to Dinamo Zagreb on November 5, having won two of their first three Europa League games. Across their last five matches, Sunderland's record is one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded. Turning that sequence into a stronger league run is the immediate priority.
Home form offers another concern: Sunderland have not scored in their last three Premier League matches at the Stadium of Light. That does not mean their home games are invariably goalless—in three of their last 14 home league fixtures, the match finished with under 0.5 total goals—but the current scoring drought leaves them needing a better attacking return here. They will also be without defenders Nordi Mukiele and Dan Ballard through injury, while Omar Alderete is suspended following his dismissal against Coventry.
Captain Granit Xhaka remains a key source of creativity. He has played every Premier League minute for Sunderland this season and leads the team with 20 chances created, five big chances created and 1.8 expected assists. If the hosts are to put Chelsea under pressure, his contribution could be especially important after three successive home league games without a goal.
Chelsea responded to an EFL Cup exit on penalties against Liverpool with a 2-0 Premier League win over Manchester United on October 31. That result made it three league victories in four games, during which they scored nine goals. Their five-match record across the supplied results is three wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
Across nine league fixtures, Chelsea have recorded five wins, one draw and three losses. They average 2.1 goals scored per Premier League match, and their 19-goal total is described as the division's third highest. There has been progress at the other end, too: the Manchester United victory gave them two clean sheets in a three-game league span for the first time since December 2025. Their season average of 1.7 goals conceded per league match nevertheless shows that recent improvement has not yet defined the campaign as a whole.
The goals trend extends to Chelsea's trips away from home, though it concerns total match goals rather than Chelsea goals alone. Over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in each of their last 15 away matches, including their last 12 away Premier League fixtures. The same threshold has been reached in their last 14 league matches overall.
There are availability concerns for Xabi Alonso. Joao Pedro, who has five goals and three assists from six league appearances, is sidelined with a thigh injury. Reece James, Maxence Lacroix and Jorrel Hato are also among the players Chelsea could be without. Emi Martinez has returned to training after a fractured jaw and may be in contention, while Mike Penders kept his first clean sheet as a Chelsea starter against Manchester United. In attack, Rogers has six goals and four assists in 12 appearances across all competitions and has scored in each of his last two outings.
Recent results give Chelsea the stronger case, but Sunderland's success in last season's meetings is a reminder that this fixture has not been straightforward for the visitors. The head-to-head summary gives Sunderland three wins and Chelsea two across their last five meetings, with no draws. Sunderland also won the most recent encounter 2-1 on May 24, 2026.
The immediate comparison is less favourable for the hosts. Sunderland's three-match home league scoring drought meets a Chelsea side that has kept two clean sheets in its last three Premier League outings. At the same time, the absence of Mukiele, Ballard and Alderete reduces Sunderland's defensive options against a side averaging more than two league goals per match. Chelsea have their own injury concerns, particularly with Joao Pedro unavailable, but their recent run of three league wins in four gives them momentum heading into this trip.
Goals after the interval have also been a recurring feature of both teams' league matches: at least one second-half goal has been scored in 26 of Sunderland's last 28 Premier League games and in each of Chelsea's last 11. That trend suggests the contest may remain active beyond the opening period, although it does not by itself point to which side will score. The clearer difference lies in current league form: Chelsea have taken nine of the last 12 available points, while Sunderland are seeking to end their home scoring slump after a midweek European defeat.
Sunderland vs Chelsea prediction from BetMines: Chelsea win (2) with 44% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sunderland
Chelsea
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
0
10
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
8
2
7
3