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Prediction published on Aug 28, 2026 3:35 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Aug 28, 2026 3:35 PM
Sunderland host Fulham at the Stadium of Light on Sunday, August 30, with kick-off scheduled for 13:00 local time. Both teams are searching for their first points on Matchday 2 of the 2026-27 Premier League season after losing their opening fixtures. Sunderland suffered a late 2-1 defeat against Ipswich Town, while Fulham were beaten 3-2 by Chelsea despite an encouraging attacking performance. The visitors then responded with a convincing 3-0 Carabao Cup victory over AFC Wimbledon on August 27. Recent meetings give Fulham an advantage, as the Cottagers are unbeaten in their last five matches against Sunderland across all competitions, recording four wins and one draw. However, the Black Cats collected 33 of their 54 league points at home last season, making this an important opportunity to produce a stronger display in front of their own supporters.
Sunderland appeared close to securing a draw at Ipswich on August 22, only to concede a late goal and lose 2-1. Their performance left room for improvement at both ends of the pitch: the Black Cats won only 44% of their defensive duels and generated 0.66 expected goals during the match. They begin this fixture in 14th place, with a Premier League record of no wins, no draws and one defeat. Their early season averages stand at one goal scored and two conceded per league game.
The broader form is more positive than the opening result suggests. Sunderland have won three and lost two of their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 0.8 per game. Their home performances were a major strength during the previous campaign, when they earned 33 of their 54 points at the Stadium of Light. They also conceded only 20 goals in 19 home league fixtures. That record provides encouragement, although Sunderland have managed just one victory in their last nine home meetings with Fulham across all competitions.
Nilson Angulo scored Sunderland’s goal from a free-kick against Ipswich, but finished the game with 0.15 expected goals and did not create a clear opportunity for centre-forward Brian Brobbey. Trai Hume supplied more of the attacking threat, creating three chances, including two big chances. He also led the team with two shots and five touches inside the opposition penalty area.
Régis Le Bris confirmed that Nordi Mukiele is available for the match. However, Simon Adingra is ruled out through injury, while new arrival Dayyan Methalie is suspended because of the five yellow cards he collected while playing in France. Another relevant trend is that there has been at least one second-half goal in 19 of Sunderland’s last 20 Premier League matches.
Fulham also started their Premier League campaign with a defeat, but there were promising signs in the 3-2 loss to Chelsea. The Cottagers’ reshaped forward line produced two goals before the team followed that display with a 3-0 cup win over AFC Wimbledon. Fulham therefore travel north after scoring five times across their first two competitive matches of the season.
The visitors sit 12th after the opening league round, with one defeat from one match and averages of two goals scored and three conceded. Across their last five fixtures in all competitions, Fulham have registered two victories, one draw and two losses. They have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded during that sequence, pointing to matches in which chances have been created at both ends.
Gonzalo Garcia scored on his Premier League debut against Chelsea, becoming Fulham’s first player since 2014 to find the net on his debut for the club. He then came off the bench to score the third goal against AFC Wimbledon. Josh King also struck against Chelsea, recording two efforts on target and a team-high nine touches in the opposition box. Those contributions underline the early influence of Fulham’s young attacking options.
There are nevertheless availability concerns for the away side. Luc de Fougerolles sustained a knock during the cup victory and is considered a serious doubt, while Tom Cairney is expected to return from his knee injury only in mid-October. Fulham must also improve on their away finish to last season: they failed to win any of their final five road fixtures and did not score in four of them. Their most recent away league victory, however, came at the Stadium of Light, where they defeated Sunderland 3-1 in late February.
This Premier League contest brings together two sides eager to recover immediately from opening-day defeats. Sunderland have the benefit of returning to a venue where they accumulated most of their points last season, but their limited attacking production against Ipswich showed why a sharper performance is required. Hume’s chance creation could be important, while Angulo and Brobbey will look for greater involvement in dangerous areas.
Fulham arrive with momentum from their three-goal cup success and have already scored five goals in two competitive outings. Garcia has found the net in both games, while King’s activity inside the box offers another threat. At the same time, the Cottagers conceded three against Chelsea and ended last season with a difficult away sequence, so their recent attacking promise does not remove every concern.
The head-to-head numbers favour Fulham. Sunderland’s last five matches against the Cottagers have produced no wins, one draw and four defeats, with average figures of one goal scored and two conceded. The most recent meeting ended 3-1 to Fulham on February 22, 2026. The available win probabilities are relatively close, with Sunderland rated at 39%, the draw at 27% and Fulham at 34%, illustrating the competitive nature of the fixture.
From a goals perspective, both opening league games finished with three or more goals, while Fulham’s subsequent cup match also produced three. The statistical projections are evenly divided for both teams to score and the 2.5-goal line, with each side of those markets given 50%. A less demanding goals threshold is better supported by the recent scorelines, the attacking output of the visitors and Sunderland’s strong pattern of second-half goals.
Sunderland vs Fulham prediction from BetMines: Over 1.5 goals with 71% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sunderland
Fulham
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
8
2
8
2