The EFL Championship continues with an intriguing clash as Swansea City welcome Blackburn Rovers on Tuesday night for Matchday 28. Both sides are looking to climb away from the lower half of the table, with Swansea sitting 16th and Blackburn 20th. The hosts have shown resilience at home recently, while the visitors are struggling to find consistency and goals. This encounter promises to be a tight and tactical battle between two teams eager to rediscover winning form.

Swansea City’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Swansea City come into this fixture after a 1-1 draw away to Birmingham City on January 17, a result that extended their run to three games without a win in all competitions. Despite that, the Swans have been solid at home, remaining unbeaten in their last five league matches at their own ground, collecting 13 points from a possible 15 (W4 D1). That home form has been the foundation of their campaign so far, helping them reach 33 points in the Championship.

Across their last five matches, Swansea have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Their season record stands at 9 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.3 conceded per match. The Swans’ games have generally been low-scoring, with Under 3.5 goals in each of their last 10 fixtures. However, they have found the net in 22 of their last 23 home matches, showing that they rarely fail to score in front of their fans.

• Unbeaten in last 5 home league matches (W4 D1).


• Under 3.5 goals in last 10 matches.


• Scored in 22 of last 23 home games.


• Season record: W9 · D6 · L12.

With their home form improving and a solid defensive base, Swansea will look to capitalize on Blackburn’s current struggles to secure another positive result.

Blackburn Rovers’ Recent Form and Key Stats

Blackburn Rovers are enduring a difficult spell, having dropped to 20th in the table after a heavy 3-0 defeat to Ipswich Town on January 17. That loss extended their winless run to six matches in all competitions, with only one victory in their last 12 outings. The main issue for the Riversiders has been their lack of goals — they have failed to score in five of their last six games, averaging just 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match over their last five fixtures.

Despite their poor form, Blackburn have been more productive away from home, earning 18 of their 28 points on the road this season (W5 D3 L5). However, they have not won any of their last five away league games (D3 L2). Their matches tend to be tight, with Under 3.5 goals recorded in 29 of their last 31 games overall and in 19 of their last 20 away fixtures in the Championship. Corners have been a frequent feature, with Over 7.5 corners in 20 of their last 21 matches.

• Winless in last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L).


• Failed to score in 5 of last 6 games.


• Under 3.5 goals in 29 of last 31 matches.


• Over 7.5 corners in 20 of last 21 matches.

Blackburn’s inability to convert chances and their defensive lapses have left them hovering just above the relegation zone. They will need a disciplined performance to take anything from this trip to Wales.

Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers Analysis and Prediction

Historically, Swansea City have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning four of the last five meetings and losing just once. The most recent encounter ended 2-1 in favor of Blackburn back in September 2025, but the Swans’ home advantage could prove decisive this time. Both teams have struggled for consistency, yet Swansea’s recent home form and Blackburn’s scoring drought suggest a low-scoring contest is likely.

Given that both sides have seen Under 3.5 goals in the majority of their recent matches, another tight affair is expected. Swansea’s ability to find the net at home, combined with Blackburn’s defensive issues, might tilt the balance slightly in favor of the hosts. However, with both teams prone to draws, a cautious approach seems wise.

In terms of probabilities, Swansea have a 42% chance of winning, the draw stands at 27%, and Blackburn’s chances are at 31%. The BTTS market is finely balanced (Yes 49%, No 51%), while Under 2.5 goals has a 51% likelihood, reinforcing the expectation of a low-scoring match.

Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 42% probability.