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Swansea City
1 - 1
FT
Preston North End
Prediction published on Feb 22, 2026 8:03 PM by Dario in England - Championship | Modified on Feb 22, 2026 8:03 PM
The Championship playoff race remains tight as Swansea City and Preston North End prepare to face off on matchday 34. Only three points separate the two sides, with Swansea sitting 15th and Preston 10th in the standings. Both teams are eager to close the gap on the top six, making this midweek clash in Plasmarl a crucial one for their postseason ambitions. The Swans have been showing signs of resurgence, while the Lilywhites are looking to bounce back after a recent setback.
Swansea City enter this fixture in solid form, having won three of their last five league matches. Their most recent outing was a 1-0 home victory over Bristol City on February 21, a result that extended their strong run at home. The Swans have now gone unbeaten in their last eight home league games, winning seven and drawing one. This consistency in front of their fans has been a major factor in their climb up the table.
Across the season, Swansea’s record stands at 13 wins, 6 draws, and 14 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their attack has been reliable, finding the net in each of their last 13 home fixtures. Defensively, they have also tightened up, conceding less than a goal per game on average in their last five outings. Interestingly, Swansea have avoided draws in 19 of their last 20 league matches, showing a clear tendency for decisive results.
With 45 points on the board, Swansea are six points off the playoff zone. A win here would not only bring them closer to the top six but also strengthen their confidence as one of the Championship’s most in-form home sides.
Preston North End travel to Wales after a narrow 1-0 defeat away to Blackburn Rovers on February 20. That loss ended a three-game unbeaten streak (1 win, 2 draws) and highlighted their ongoing inconsistency on the road. The Lilywhites have struggled away from home recently, losing three of their last five league trips and failing to score in two of those defeats.
Over the course of the season, Preston have recorded 12 wins, 12 draws, and 9 losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Their recent performances suggest a dip in attacking sharpness, with only 0.8 goals scored per match in their last five fixtures. Defensively, they have been less stable too, conceding an average of 1.6 goals during that same period.
With 48 points, Preston sit just three points above Swansea and three points outside the playoff positions. Their challenge will be to rediscover their early-season rhythm and improve their away form if they are to remain in contention for a top-six finish.
The reverse fixture between these two sides ended in a 2-1 win for Preston North End back in November 2025. However, much has changed since then. Swansea City have improved significantly, losing only five league matches since the start of December and becoming a formidable force at home. Historically, the head-to-head record between the two clubs is evenly balanced, with two wins each and one draw in their last five meetings. The average goals per game in those encounters stand at 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded by Swansea, suggesting tight and competitive contests.
Given Swansea’s current momentum and home advantage, they are likely to take the initiative in this match. Preston’s recent away struggles could make it difficult for them to contain a confident Swansea side that has been efficient in both attack and defense. The Swans’ ability to score early and manage games effectively at home could prove decisive once again.
All signs point toward a closely fought encounter, but the balance tilts slightly in favor of the home team. Swansea’s strong home record and recent form give them the edge over a Preston side that has been inconsistent on the road. The Swans’ attacking rhythm and defensive solidity make them a tough opponent, especially in front of their supporters.
Swansea City vs Preston North End prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 56% probability. The draw (X) follows at 24%, while an away win (2) is estimated at 20%.
With both teams still eyeing the playoff spots, this fixture promises intensity and determination. However, Swansea’s home dominance could once again be the deciding factor in securing all three points.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Swansea City
Preston North End
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
9
1