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Sweden
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Bosnia and Herzegovina
Prediction published on Nov 12, 2026 8:04 PM by Dario in Europe - UEFA Nations League | Modified on Nov 12, 2026 8:04 PM
Sweden host Bosnia and Herzegovina on November 14, 2026, in the penultimate round of UEFA Nations League Group B4. The match is scheduled for 19:45 at Strawberry Arena in Solna. Sweden lead the group with 10 points, two ahead of their visitors, but neither side has lost in this season’s competition. Their latest meeting ended 1-1 on October 2, leaving plenty to play for in this rematch. Sweden’s consistent scoring record and Bosnia and Herzegovina’s unbeaten campaign make this an important test for both teams, with the hosts looking to protect their advantage at the top.
Sweden have won three and drawn one of their four UEFA Nations League matches this season. They average 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game in the competition, and their most recent result was a 1-0 win against Romania on October 5. Across their last five matches in all competitions, Sweden have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, scoring 1.4 goals per game and conceding 1.2.
The hosts have scored at least once in each of their last 13 Nations League matches. Looking beyond this competition, at least two total goals have been scored in 32 of Sweden’s last 34 matches. Those figures point to a side that has regularly found a way onto the scoresheet, although the 1-1 result against Bosnia and Herzegovina shows that this particular fixture has recently been close.
Viktor Gyokeres has been a prominent figure in Sweden’s attack. According to the supplied match information, he scored in each of Sweden’s last four matches, has scored in seven consecutive Nations League appearances and has found the net in four straight home games for his country. He also scored against Bosnia and Herzegovina in a previous meeting. His recent club minutes have been limited, but he registered five goal involvements across his last six matches for Arsenal. Those records provide context for his importance to Sweden without making any single player the only route to a home result.
Bosnia and Herzegovina arrive in second place in Group B4, two points behind Sweden. Their Nations League record this season stands at two wins and two draws, with averages of 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. They beat Poland 1-0 on October 5, keeping a clean sheet in their latest outing. Over their last five matches, they have won twice, drawn twice and lost once, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
The win over Poland offers encouragement, but the longer defensive record is less reassuring for the visitors: it was their second clean sheet in nine outings, while they have managed just one in their last 10 away matches. Bosnia and Herzegovina have also been behind at half-time in six of their last 10 away Nations League games. Against a Sweden side with a long scoring streak in this competition, their ability to handle the opening stages could be particularly significant.
At the same time, Bosnia and Herzegovina’s unbeaten record in this season’s Nations League should not be overlooked. They earned a 1-1 draw in the most recent head-to-head meeting and remain within two points of the group leaders. Sweden may have the stronger results record in the competition so far, but the visitors have already shown they can take a point from this opponent.
The contrast between Sweden’s group lead and Bosnia and Herzegovina’s unbeaten record gives this match a competitive edge. Sweden have taken 10 points from four games and have scored in 13 consecutive Nations League fixtures; Bosnia and Herzegovina have taken eight points from four and conceded an average of 0.8 goals per game. The 1-1 draw on October 2 is a reminder that the hosts’ scoring consistency does not necessarily translate into a comfortable result.
The first half stands out in the supplied statistics. At least one goal has been scored before half-time in each of Sweden’s last 11 home Nations League matches, and in 20 of their last 22 Nations League games overall. Sweden have led at the interval in six of their last 10 matches in the competition, while Bosnia and Herzegovina have trailed at the break in six of their last 10 away fixtures at this level. These are separate records, not a guarantee of how this meeting will unfold, but together they make an early goal a clear theme of the preview.
Sweden’s recent win over Romania and Bosnia and Herzegovina’s victory against Poland were both 1-0, so neither team’s latest result alone points to a high-scoring contest. The broader Nations League trends, however, give more weight to the possibility of action before the interval. With the teams separated by only two points and their latest meeting ending level, the opening 45 minutes could shape the direction of this Group B4 encounter.
Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 79% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sweden
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
3
7
6
4
3.5
5
5
6
4
4.5
7
3
7
3