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Switzerland
6:45 PM
October 6, 2026
North Macedonia
Prediction published on Oct 5, 2026 1:02 AM by Dario in Europe - UEFA Nations League | Modified on Oct 5, 2026 1:02 AM
Switzerland host North Macedonia on October 6 in a UEFA Nations League Group B1 match that brings together the top and bottom sides in the group. Switzerland have won all three of their matches so far and can extend that run at the swissporarena in Luzern. North Macedonia have lost all three group games without scoring. The teams met on September 26, when Switzerland won 3-0 away from home, and the visitors now face the challenge of finding a first goal and a first point against opponents in strong form.
Switzerland arrive after a 2-1 win over Slovenia on October 3, their third consecutive victory in Group B1. They have averaged 2.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per match in this Nations League campaign. Their broader form is also consistent: their last five matches have produced three wins, two draws and no defeats, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded.
The hosts have not lost in their last 16 matches and have kept four clean sheets in their last six. Those figures give Switzerland more than one route into this contest: they have scored regularly during the group campaign while also limiting opponents' chances to make an impact on the scoreline. Their 3-0 win in the reverse fixture is the only previous meeting between these sides listed in the supplied head-to-head record.
Goals have featured consistently in Switzerland's recent matches, though those totals refer to goals by both teams combined. Their last 11 Nations League games have each contained over 1.5 goals, as have 25 of their last 27 matches in all competitions. They have also led at half-time in each of their last three Nations League fixtures. A goal before the interval has been scored in 18 of their last 20 games in this competition.
North Macedonia travel to Luzern following a 2-0 defeat to Scotland on October 3. That result left them with three defeats from three in Group B1, during which they have averaged 0.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per match. Their most recent five-game record stands at one draw and four losses, with no goals scored and an average of 2.2 conceded.
The difficulty in front of goal extends beyond this group campaign. North Macedonia have scored only twice in their last 11 matches and have not won any of those games. The 3-0 home loss to Switzerland showed how costly that lack of scoring can be against a side that has been difficult to break down. To improve on the reverse-fixture result, the visitors need to change a pattern that has persisted across both their recent matches and their opening Nations League fixtures.
Their goal-related trends present a more measured picture of match totals than their defeats alone might suggest. North Macedonia's last 11 Nations League matches have all finished under 3.5 total goals, while each of those games has featured at least one second-half goal. An over 0.5 second-half goals result has also occurred in 20 of their last 22 matches overall. These figures describe goals in the matches as a whole, not goals scored by North Macedonia.
The contrast is clear heading into this UEFA Nations League preview. Switzerland have a perfect Group B1 record, have scored an average of 2.7 goals per game in the competition and have conceded an average of just 0.3. North Macedonia have yet to score in the group and have already lost to the Swiss by three goals. Switzerland's recent clean sheets and North Macedonia's longer scoring difficulties make the visitors' attacking record a central question for this match.
There is also reason to distinguish between an expectation of goals in the match and an expectation that both sides will score. Over 1.5 total goals has landed in Switzerland's last 11 Nations League fixtures, but North Macedonia's three group matches have passed without a goal from them. Switzerland's 3-0 victory in the first meeting fits both patterns. The hosts' record of leading at half-time in their last three group games adds another relevant detail, although it does not determine how this match will unfold.
North Macedonia's under 3.5-goal run suggests that their recent Nations League fixtures have generally stayed within a limited scoring range. Switzerland, meanwhile, have combined steady scoring with a low rate of goals conceded in this campaign. For the visitors, ending their scoreless group run would mark a significant change from both their season figures and the previous meeting. Until they do, Switzerland's defensive form remains one of the strongest factors shaping the outlook.
Switzerland vs North Macedonia prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (No) with 63% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Switzerland
North Macedonia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
3
7
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
9
1
7
3
4.5
9
1
9
1