Tarancón host Levante on October 28 in the first round of Spain’s Copa Del Rey, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time at the Estadio Polideportivo Municipal. The home side enter the cup tie unbeaten in six matches, while Levante are looking to respond to a defeat in their most recent fixture. Tarancón’s run gives them reason to approach the match with confidence, but Levante hold the stronger win probability in the supplied figures. The contrast between the hosts’ recent consistency and the visitors’ less settled results makes this an intriguing first-round encounter.

Tarancón’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Tarancón have not lost since September. Their six-match unbeaten sequence comprises four wins and two draws, and their latest result was a 1-1 draw against Villarrubia on October 24. That point kept the run intact, even though it ended the chance to add another victory before the cup meeting with Levante.

Across their last five matches, Tarancón have recorded three wins, two draws and no defeats. They have averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game over that stretch. The scoring average shows how productive they have been recently, while the goals-conceded figure is a reminder that their unbeaten record has not depended on keeping opponents off the scoresheet in every match.

Playing at home gives Tarancón the setting in which to test that form against Levante. Their recent results provide a clear foundation for optimism, although the supplied five-match figures do not separate their home performances from their away results. The cup tie will therefore offer a fresh measure of whether their unbeaten run can continue against this opponent.

Levante’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Levante arrive after a 2-1 defeat against Real Sociedad on October 25. The source article also describes a victory over Athletic Club, but the more recent dated result in the supplied data is the loss to Real Sociedad. Levante will consequently head into this first-round match seeking an immediate return to winning ways.

The visitors’ last five matches have brought one win, two draws and two defeats. During that period, they have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Those numbers suggest that Levante have found goals, but have also allowed opponents opportunities at the other end. Compared with Tarancón’s five-match record, their recent results have been less consistent.

There is, however, a notable statistic from Levante’s Copa Del Rey away fixtures: they have been ahead at half-time in eight of their last 13 such matches. It is a reason to watch the opening stages closely, even if that record does not determine how this particular tie will unfold. The supplied data also show that three of Levante’s last 10 away matches finished without a goal, as did two of their last 10 matches overall. Those figures refer to total goals in the matches, not solely to Levante’s scoring.

Tarancón vs Levante Match Analysis

Recent form gives Tarancón the stronger five-match record: they are unbeaten in that span, whereas Levante have won once. The hosts have also scored more per game and conceded fewer across those respective five-match samples. If Tarancón can carry that level of performance into the cup tie, Levante will face a demanding contest despite being the visitors favoured by the supplied win probabilities.

For Levante, the question is whether they can turn their scoring average into a better result while improving on the 2.0 goals per game they have conceded in their last five. Their record of leading at half-time in eight of 13 Copa Del Rey away matches provides a contrasting positive indicator. A strong start would help them move beyond the disappointment of their October 25 defeat, but Tarancón’s unbeaten sequence shows why the hosts cannot be discounted.

The supplied win probabilities put Levante at 53%, Tarancón at 22% and the draw at 25%. That makes the away side the leading outcome in the figures, rather than an overwhelming favourite. With both the both-teams-to-score split and the over/under 2.5-goals split evenly balanced at 50% each, the available data offer no similarly clear direction on the goals markets. The central issue is whether Tarancón’s sustained run can withstand a Levante side seeking a response to its latest loss.

Tarancón vs Levante prediction from BetMines: Levante win (2) with 53% probability.