Team Altamura welcome Bari 1908 for a Serie C: Girone C derby on Friday, September 11, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 local time at the Stadio Comunale Tonino D'Angelo. Bari are still becoming accustomed to the division after a demanding opening to the campaign, but expectations remain high for a team considered among the contenders to win the group. The visitors now need to reinforce those expectations against an Altamura side determined to respond after losing their latest home match. The standings offer Bari a narrow contextual advantage, with the visitors fifth and Altamura tenth, although the available results indicate that this should not be treated as a straightforward away assignment. Altamura have lost only once across their last five matches, while Bari have recorded three victories during the same sequence. With derby significance, contrasting results from the previous round and a strong trend towards matches finishing below four goals, this fixture has the ingredients for a closely contested encounter.

Team Altamura Recent Form and Key Statistics

Team Altamura enter the derby after a 2-0 defeat against Savoia on September 6. That result was their first loss in their latest five matches, a run containing two wins, two draws and one defeat. Across those five fixtures, Altamura averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, numbers that underline the balance of their recent results rather than a clear dominance at either end of the pitch.

Their Serie C: Girone C record currently stands at one victory, one draw and one loss. In league play, Altamura have averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, leaving them in tenth place before this meeting. The lower scoring average in the competition is particularly relevant against a Bari side that have conceded only 0.8 goals per match over their latest five outings.

The most striking Altamura trend concerns the overall number of goals in their games. Fewer than 3.5 goals were recorded in 30 of their last 31 Serie C: Girone C matches, while the same outcome occurred in 31 of their last 33 matches across all competitions. This long sequence points towards another controlled scoreline rather than a match decided by a large number of goals.

There is also a clear first-half pattern. Altamura's last 11 league matches have all contained at least one goal before the interval. However, at least one of the two teams failed to score in the first half in 38 of Altamura's last 40 matches, including 36 of their last 38 in Serie C: Girone C. Taken together, those figures suggest that an opening goal may arrive before half-time without necessarily producing an immediate exchange of goals between the sides.

Bari 1908 Recent Form and Key Statistics

Bari 1908 travel to Altamura following a 1-0 victory against Casarano on September 5. That narrow success provides a positive response point ahead of the derby and fits with their stronger recent record. Bari have won three of their last five matches, drawing once and losing once, while averaging 1.2 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per fixture.

In Serie C: Girone C, Bari have collected two wins and one defeat from their opening three games. Their league averages stand at 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, and those results place them fifth in the ranking. Compared with Altamura's league output of 0.7 goals per game, the visitors have so far shown the greater scoring return, although both teams have the same average of one goal conceded in the competition.

The available data also show that completely goalless Bari matches have been relatively uncommon. Fewer than 0.5 total goals occurred in only three of their last 14 away fixtures and in two of their last 10 matches overall. That supports the prospect of at least one goal being scored, but it does not automatically point towards a high-scoring contest. Bari's latest 1-0 result, their recent defensive average and Altamura's extensive Under 3.5 sequence all suggest that any breakthrough could carry considerable importance.

The match probabilities give Bari 1908 a 38% chance of winning, compared with 32% for Team Altamura and 29% for the draw. The visitors therefore hold the highest individual win probability, but the margins are small enough to emphasize the competitive nature of the fixture. Bari may arrive in better recent form, yet Altamura's two wins and two draws from their previous five matches show that the hosts have regularly avoided defeat.

Team Altamura vs Bari 1908 Match Analysis

The central question is whether Bari can turn their stronger start and higher ranking into an away victory. Their three wins from the last five matches and the 1-0 success over Casarano give them a positive platform. Altamura, however, have an immediate incentive to recover from the home defeat against Savoia, especially in a derby carrying added importance for both teams.

The goal markets provide the clearest statistical direction. The probability of Under 2.5 goals is 59%, while Over 2.5 stands at 41%. The chance of both teams scoring is 46%, compared with 54% for at least one side failing to find the net. These percentages align with Altamura's long-running Under 3.5 record and Bari's recent average of fewer than one goal conceded per match.

A first-half goal remains a realistic feature because Altamura's previous 11 league games have all produced at least one before the break. Even so, their broader first-half data repeatedly show one team remaining scoreless during that period. The likely pattern is therefore a game in which an early breakthrough is possible, but sustained end-to-end scoring is less strongly supported.

Bari carry a slight statistical edge through their fifth-place position, two league wins and better recent defensive figures. Altamura's ability to collect four positive results from their last five matches prevents the visitors from being viewed as overwhelming favourites. With neither side averaging more than 1.3 league goals per game, a tight margin and a restrained total appear more consistent with the supplied evidence than a wide victory or a high-scoring derby.

Team Altamura vs Bari 1908 prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 59% probability.