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Prediction published on Oct 23, 2025 1:03 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone B | Modified on Oct 23, 2025 1:11 PM
The upcoming Serie C clash between Ternana and Arezzo promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the weekend. Scheduled for Saturday, October 25 at 14:30 at the Stadio Libero Liberati, the match brings together two sides in excellent form but with very different trajectories. Arezzo are currently setting an extraordinary pace at the top of the table, while Ternana, after a difficult start, have found consistency and are climbing back toward the promotion zone. Despite the gap in the standings, this encounter looks far from predictable, especially considering Ternana’s solid home record and Arezzo’s relentless momentum.
Ternana come into this match after a narrow but important 1-0 away win against Campobasso on October 19. That result extended their positive run to three wins in the last five matches, alongside one draw and one defeat. During this stretch, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, showing a balanced approach between attack and defense. Over the course of the season, their record in Serie C (Girone B) stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match.
One of the most notable aspects of Ternana’s campaign has been their defensive discipline. In fact, at least one team has failed to score in the second half in 29 of their last 31 matches, a trend that highlights their ability to control games after the break. Furthermore, their matches tend to be tight and tactical, with Under 10.5 corners recorded in each of their last 15 fixtures. These numbers suggest that Ternana often prefer a structured, compact style of play, relying on efficiency rather than high-scoring affairs.
Currently sitting 4th in the Serie C: Girone B standings, Ternana remain within striking distance of the top positions. A victory here would not only boost their confidence but also narrow the gap to the league leaders, Arezzo. Playing at home, where the Liberati crowd can create a strong atmosphere, could be a decisive factor in their attempt to stop the unstoppable Tuscan side.
Arezzo are enjoying a dream season so far. The Tuscan club have been dominant in Girone B, leading the table with 9 wins and just 1 defeat in their first ten matches. Their most recent outing, a 3-0 away victory over Ravenna on October 19, further underlined their superiority. Over their last five matches, Arezzo have been flawless, winning all five while averaging 2.4 goals scored and conceding only 0.6 per game. Their attacking efficiency and defensive solidity make them one of the most complete teams in the division.
Statistically, Arezzo’s consistency is remarkable. They have not drawn any of their last 23 league matches, a streak that reflects their all-or-nothing approach. Moreover, Over 0.5 goals have been scored in each of those 23 games, confirming their attacking intent in every outing. With such numbers, it’s no surprise that Arezzo are seen as the team to beat this season. Their ability to maintain focus and intensity week after week has allowed them to build a three-point cushion over second-placed Ascoli, who recently dropped points.
However, despite their dominance, Arezzo will be aware that the trip to Terni presents a different kind of challenge. The Liberati is a difficult ground, and Ternana’s defensive organization could test the visitors’ patience. Still, Arezzo’s momentum and confidence make them slight favorites heading into this encounter.
This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting styles. Ternana rely on tactical discipline, compact defending, and quick transitions, while Arezzo prefer to control possession and impose their rhythm through attacking combinations. The head-to-head history slightly favors Ternana, who have won three of the last four meetings (including a 3-1 victory in February 2025), but the current form of Arezzo suggests that past records might not be as relevant this time.
Given the statistics, this match could be tighter than expected. Ternana’s tendency to keep games under control and Arezzo’s efficiency in front of goal might balance each other out. The hosts will look to frustrate Arezzo’s attacking flow, while the visitors will aim to strike early to unsettle Ternana’s defensive shape. A low-scoring contest is possible, especially considering that both teams have shown strong defensive numbers this season.
Ultimately, the outcome may depend on which side manages to impose its rhythm. If Arezzo can maintain their attacking sharpness, they could extend their winning streak. However, Ternana’s resilience and home advantage make them a dangerous opponent capable of halting even the most in-form teams.
The most likely outcome is a Ternana win (1) with a 39% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 29%, while an Arezzo win (2) stands at 32%. Given the balanced nature of both sides and their defensive records, a tight and competitive match is expected at the Stadio Libero Liberati.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Ternana
Arezzo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
8
2