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Prediction published on Nov 7, 2025 9:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone B | Modified on Nov 7, 2025 9:02 PM
The upcoming Serie C Group B clash between Ternana and Vis Pesaro promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the weekend. Both sides have shown impressive consistency in recent weeks, establishing themselves among the most in-form teams in the division. While Arezzo and Ravenna continue to set the pace at the top, these two clubs have quietly built strong momentum. Ternana, after a slow start, are now living up to their preseason billing as promotion contenders, while Vis Pesaro have emerged as one of the surprise packages of the campaign, defying expectations with their disciplined and effective football.
Ternana enter this match in solid form, having drawn 3-3 away to Gubbio on November 2. That result extended their unbeaten run to five matches across all competitions, with a record of two wins and three draws. Over that stretch, they have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, reflecting a balanced but occasionally leaky defense. Across the season, the Umbrian side have recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match while conceding 1.1.
At the Stadio Libero Liberati, Ternana have been particularly resilient, often finding ways to score in the second half — in fact, there have been Over 0.5 goals in the second half in each of their last ten league matches. However, their games tend to be tight affairs, with Under 10.5 corners recorded in each of their last 17 fixtures, suggesting a controlled and tactical approach rather than end-to-end chaos. The 3-3 draw at Gubbio showcased their attacking potential, but also highlighted defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited by a well-organized opponent like Vis Pesaro.
Vis Pesaro come into this encounter full of confidence after a narrow but deserved 1-0 victory over Juventus Next Gen on November 3. That win extended their unbeaten streak to five matches (two wins and three draws), during which they have averaged 1.0 goal scored and just 0.4 conceded per game. Their defensive solidity has been the cornerstone of their success — the team has kept multiple clean sheets recently, and their goalkeeper has not conceded in over four consecutive matches.
Under the guidance of Roberto Stellone, Vis Pesaro have developed a compact and disciplined structure that frustrates opponents. They have proven particularly difficult to break down in the first half, having avoided defeat before halftime in 20 of their last 21 league matches. Away from home, their consistency is equally impressive: they have not lost at halftime in 18 of their last 20 away games, and 11 of their last 13 away fixtures have been level at the break. This pattern suggests that Stellone’s men prioritize defensive organization early on before gradually opening up as the game progresses.
In terms of scoring trends, Vis Pesaro’s matches tend to be low-scoring. Under 0.5 goals have been recorded in four of their last eleven league games, and in two of their last ten away fixtures. Their ability to grind out results with minimal scoring has been key to their rise to 10th place in the standings, just a few points behind Ternana in sixth.
Sunday night’s meeting at the Stadio Libero Liberati (kick-off 20:30) is expected to be a tactical battle between two sides that have built their recent success on structure and discipline. Ternana will look to leverage their home advantage and attacking depth, but they face one of the most organized defenses in the league. The Umbrians’ recent 3-3 draw showed both their offensive flair and defensive fragility, while Vis Pesaro’s recent run of clean sheets underlines their ability to stay compact and frustrate opponents.
Historically, the head-to-head record between these sides is balanced: in their last four meetings, Ternana have won twice, drawn once, and lost once, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Their most recent encounter ended 2-1 in January 2025, a result that reflected the narrow margins that typically define this fixture. Given both teams’ current form, another close contest seems likely, with few clear chances and a strong emphasis on defensive organization.
While Ternana are considered favorites due to their higher league position and home advantage, Vis Pesaro’s defensive resilience and tactical discipline make them a dangerous opponent. Stellone’s side have shown they can hold their own against stronger teams, and their ability to stay compact could once again limit the hosts’ attacking output. Expect a cautious first half, with both sides prioritizing defensive stability before taking more risks after the break.
The most likely outcome is a Ternana win (1) with a 53% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 27%, while a Vis Pesaro win (2) stands at 19%. Given both teams’ recent defensive records and the low-scoring trends in their matches, a tight and tactical encounter is expected at the Liberati.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Ternana
Vis Pesaro
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
2
8
5
5
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0